Team Dashboard – HoopSci

Home
Schedule
Predictions
Vitals
Offense
Defense
Trend Lab
Offense Lab
Defense Lab

Bellarmine

Model	Score	Rank
Adj EM	-14.98	294
Elo	1362.35	329
RPI	0.436	301

Updated through 2026-03-08

Efficiency Margin Rank Trend

Elo Rank Trend

RPI Rank Trend

About the models: The Adj EM model (Adjusted Efficiency Margin) is the difference between the Adjusted Offensive Efficiency and Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Essentially, it is a PPP (points per possession) differential adjusted for the quality of competition. The data points that are plotted are the calculated efficiency margins on each particular date. In practice, the adjusted offensive and defensive efficiencies for each game change with each new game result. So, the effect of any particular game result becomes less important as the season unfolds. This is evident in the plot as there are fairly large efficiency fluctations at the beginning of each new season. The effect is similar with the RPI: the scores and ranks become more stable as the season progresses.

The Elo model does not reset each year and so does not suffer from the same sort of early season data deficiency issues as season efficiency margins and RPI. The downside of this is that the model tends to lag the Adj EM and RPI models which quickly reflect changes in coaching or team personnel. The Elo model is used extensively at fivethirtyeight for their NFL and NBA predictive models. This Elo model has the following parameters: Starting Elo=1500, K=20, Home Court Advantage = 100; At the beginning of each new season, starting Elo is 0.75 previous season Elo + 0.25 Mean Elo (1505).

Date	Opponent	Site	Type	Result	Score	Record (Conf)
2025-11-29	Northern Illinois	A	Non-Conference	-	-	-

Date	Opponent	Site	Type	Result	Score	Record
2020-12-04	Duke	A	Non-Conference	L	54-76	0-1 (0-0)
2020-12-06	Howard	A	Non-Conference	W	84-63	1-1 (0-0)
2020-12-09	Chattanooga	H	Non-Conference	L	68-77	1-2 (0-0)
2020-12-23	Notre Dame	A	Non-Conference	L	70-81	1-3 (0-0)
2021-01-01	Transylvania	H	Non-D1	W	90-40	2-3 (0-0)
2021-01-02	Mount St. Joseph	H	Non-D1	W	90-38	3-3 (0-0)
2021-01-08	Lipscomb	H	Conference	L	72-77	3-4 (0-1)
2021-01-09	Lipscomb	H	Conference	L	58-65	3-5 (0-2)
2021-01-15	FGCU	A	Conference	W	74-60	4-5 (1-2)
2021-01-16	FGCU	A	Conference	W	80-63	5-5 (2-2)
2021-01-22	Stetson	H	Conference	W	67-62	6-5 (3-2)
2021-01-23	Stetson	H	Conference	W	76-65	7-5 (4-2)
2021-01-29	Kennesaw State	A	Conference	W	84-67	8-5 (5-2)
2021-01-30	Kennesaw State	A	Conference	W	84-79	9-5 (6-2)
2021-02-05	Jacksonville	H	Conference	W	71-56	10-5 (7-2)
2021-02-06	Jacksonville	H	Conference	W	63-44	11-5 (8-2)
2021-02-12	North Alabama	A	Conference	W	66-64	12-5 (9-2)
2021-02-13	North Alabama	A	Conference	W	87-63	13-5 (10-2)
2021-02-27	Liberty	H	Conference	L	78-94	13-6 (10-3)
2021-03-04	Stetson	N	Conference Tournament	L	70-73	13-7 (10-3)
2021-03-22	Army	N	Conference	W	77-67	14-7 (11-3)
2021-03-23	Pepperdine	N	Non-Conference	L	71-82	14-8 (11-3)
2021-11-09	Purdue	A	Non-Conference	L	67-96	0-1 (0-0)
2021-11-13	Murray State	A	Non-Conference	L	59-78	0-2 (0-0)
2021-11-17	Saint Mary's	A	Non-Conference	L	64-73	0-3 (0-0)
2021-11-19	Gonzaga	A	Non-Conference	L	50-92	0-4 (0-0)
2021-11-22	UCLA	N	Non-Conference	L	62-75	0-5 (0-0)
2021-11-23	Cent Michigan	N	Non-Conference	W	76-69	1-5 (0-0)
2021-11-28	Franklin	H	Non-D1	W	75-37	2-5 (0-0)
2021-11-30	West Virginia	A	Non-Conference	L	55-74	2-6 (0-0)
2021-12-05	Defiance	H	Non-D1	W	92-43	3-6 (0-0)
2021-12-09	Asbury College	H	Non-D1	W	87-55	4-6 (0-0)
2021-12-10	Midway	H	Non-D1	W	89-39	5-6 (0-0)
2021-12-15	South Dakota	A	Non-Conference	L	64-78	5-7 (0-0)
2021-12-18	Miami (OH)	A	Non-Conference	W	77-68	6-7 (0-0)
2021-12-21	Loyola Mary	H	Non-Conference	L	57-71	6-8 (0-0)
2022-01-04	Jacksonville St	A	Conference	-	-	-
2022-01-08	E Kentucky	H	Conference	W	66-61	7-8 (1-0)
2022-01-11	Cent Arkansas	H	Conference	W	85-63	8-8 (2-0)
2022-01-15	Lipscomb	A	Conference	W	77-71	9-8 (3-0)
2022-01-18	North Alabama	H	Conference	W	68-60	10-8 (4-0)
2022-01-22	Jacksonville	H	Conference	W	76-73	11-8 (5-0)
2022-01-24	Jacksonville St	A	Conference	L	60-65	11-9 (5-1)
2022-01-27	Stetson	A	Conference	W	72-47	12-9 (6-1)
2022-01-29	FGCU	A	Conference	W	74-63	13-9 (7-1)
2022-02-03	Liberty	H	Conference	L	53-66	13-10 (7-2)
2022-02-05	Kennesaw State	H	Conference	L	70-75	13-11 (7-3)
2022-02-09	North Florida	A	Conference	W	73-70	14-11 (8-3)
2022-02-12	North Alabama	A	Conference	W	75-69	15-11 (9-3)
2022-02-16	Cent Arkansas	A	Conference	W	79-69	16-11 (10-3)
2022-02-20	Jacksonville St	H	Conference	L	67-82	16-12 (10-4)
2022-02-23	Lipscomb	H	Conference	W	76-73	17-12 (11-4)
2022-02-26	E Kentucky	A	Conference	L	58-72	17-13 (11-5)
2022-03-03	FGCU	N	Conference Tournament	W	81-68	18-13 (11-5)
2022-03-05	Liberty	N	Conference Tournament	W	53-50	19-13 (11-5)
2022-03-08	Jacksonville	N	Conference Tournament	W	77-72	20-13 (11-5)
2022-11-09	Louisville	A	Non-Conference	W	67-66	1-0 (0-0)
2022-11-12	Morehead State	A	Non-Conference	L	55-62	1-1 (0-0)
2022-11-14	Campbellsville-Harrodsburg	H	Non-D1	W	86-46	2-1 (0-0)
2022-11-18	Clemson	A	Non-Conference	L	66-76	2-2 (0-0)
2022-11-21	Duke	A	Non-Conference	L	57-74	2-3 (0-0)
2022-11-25	Loyola Mary	A	Non-Conference	L	59-80	2-4 (0-0)
2022-11-27	UCLA	A	Non-Conference	L	60-81	2-5 (0-0)
2022-11-29	Kentucky	A	Non-Conference	L	41-60	2-6 (0-0)
2022-12-04	Alice Lloyd College	H	Non-D1	W	110-38	3-6 (0-0)
2022-12-06	Wabash College	H	Non-D1	W	86-45	4-6 (0-0)
2022-12-10	Murray State	H	Non-Conference	W	69-58	5-6 (0-0)
2022-12-17	Miami (OH)	H	Non-Conference	L	67-71	5-7 (0-0)
2022-12-21	Evansville	A	Non-Conference	L	61-73	5-8 (0-0)
2022-12-29	Liberty	H	Conference	L	53-70	5-9 (0-1)
2023-01-02	North Alabama	A	Conference	W	69-65	6-9 (1-1)
2023-01-05	Queens University	H	Conference	L	74-75	6-10 (1-2)
2023-01-07	Jacksonville St	A	Conference	W	75-62	7-10 (2-2)
2023-01-12	Stetson	H	Conference	L	51-80	7-11 (2-3)
2023-01-14	FGCU	H	Conference	W	61-41	8-11 (3-3)
2023-01-19	Austin Peay	A	Conference	W	56-45	9-11 (4-3)
2023-01-21	Lipscomb	A	Conference	L	49-69	9-12 (4-4)
2023-01-26	E Kentucky	H	Conference	W	72-71	10-12 (5-4)
2023-01-28	E Kentucky	A	Conference	L	63-73	10-13 (5-5)
2023-02-02	Kennesaw State	H	Conference	L	84-90	10-14 (5-6)
2023-02-04	Jacksonville St	H	Conference	W	71-64	11-14 (6-6)
2023-02-09	Liberty	A	Conference	L	50-70	11-15 (6-7)
2023-02-11	Queens University	A	Conference	W	88-84	12-15 (7-7)
2023-02-16	North Alabama	H	Conference	L	57-70	12-16 (7-8)
2023-02-19	Cent Arkansas	H	Conference	W	68-67	13-16 (8-8)
2023-02-22	Jacksonville	A	Conference	W	63-61	14-16 (9-8)
2023-02-24	North Florida	A	Conference	L	67-79	14-17 (9-9)
2023-02-27	North Florida	N	Conference Tournament	W	76-74	15-17 (9-9)
2023-02-28	Liberty	N	Conference Tournament	L	56-76	15-18 (9-9)
2023-11-06	Washington	A	Non-Conference	L	57-91	0-1 (0-0)
2023-11-10	Kansas State	A	Non-Conference	L	75-83	0-2 (0-0)
2023-11-14	Chattanooga	A	Non-Conference	L	64-72	0-3 (0-0)
2023-11-17	Bowling Green	A	Non-Conference	W	85-67	1-3 (0-0)
2023-11-20	Morehead State	H	Non-Conference	L	51-64	1-4 (0-0)
2023-11-21	Midway University	H	Non-D1	W	77-56	2-4 (0-0)
2023-11-26	West Virginia	A	Non-Conference	L	58-62	2-5 (0-0)
2023-11-29	Louisville	A	Non-Conference	L	68-73	2-6 (0-0)
2023-12-02	Ball State	A	Non-Conference	L	58-67	2-7 (0-0)
2023-12-16	Evansville	H	Non-Conference	L	61-70	2-8 (0-0)
2023-12-20	Utah	A	Non-Conference	L	43-85	2-9 (0-0)
2023-12-22	BYU	A	Non-Conference	L	59-101	2-10 (0-0)
2023-12-30	High Point	A	Non-Conference	L	85-90	2-11 (0-0)
2024-01-04	Austin Peay	H	Conference	L	68-84	2-12 (0-1)
2024-01-06	Lipscomb	H	Conference	L	70-81	2-13 (0-2)
2024-01-11	North Alabama	A	Conference	L	53-69	2-14 (0-3)
2024-01-13	Cent Arkansas	A	Conference	L	57-59	2-15 (0-4)
2024-01-20	E Kentucky	A	Conference	L	70-82	2-16 (0-5)
2024-01-25	North Florida	H	Conference	L	63-71	2-17 (0-6)
2024-01-27	Jacksonville	H	Conference	W	69-63	3-17 (1-6)
2024-02-01	Kennesaw State	A	Conference	W	96-95	4-17 (2-6)
2024-02-03	Queens University	A	Conference	L	75-85	4-18 (2-7)
2024-02-07	Stetson	H	Conference	L	77-84	4-19 (2-8)
2024-02-10	FGCU	A	Conference	L	52-63	4-20 (2-9)
2024-02-17	E Kentucky	H	Conference	L	65-75	4-21 (2-10)
2024-02-22	Cent Arkansas	H	Conference	W	68-65	5-21 (3-10)
2024-02-24	North Alabama	H	Conference	W	82-70	6-21 (4-10)
2024-02-28	Lipscomb	A	Conference	L	74-90	6-22 (4-11)
2024-03-01	Austin Peay	A	Conference	L	87-90	6-23 (4-12)
2024-11-04	VCU	A	Non-Conference	L	65-84	0-1 (0-0)
2024-11-09	VMI	H	Non-Conference	L	71-76	0-2 (0-0)
2024-11-13	Southern Indiana	H	Non-Conference	L	69-71	0-3 (0-0)
2024-11-16	Marshall	A	Non-Conference	L	62-83	0-4 (0-0)
2024-11-19	Louisville	A	Non-Conference	L	68-100	0-5 (0-0)
2024-11-23	Bowling Green	H	Non-Conference	W	80-68	1-5 (0-0)
2024-11-26	Midway University	H	Non-D1	W	101-60	2-5 (0-0)
2024-11-30	N Kentucky	A	Non-Conference	L	70-86	2-6 (0-0)
2024-12-04	W Carolina	A	Non-Conference	L	74-86	2-7 (0-0)
2024-12-07	Brescia	H	Non-D1	W	94-66	3-7 (0-0)
2024-12-14	Ball State	H	Non-Conference	L	82-86	3-8 (0-0)
2024-12-19	Wyoming	A	Non-Conference	L	55-92	3-9 (0-0)
2024-12-21	Colorado	A	Non-Conference	L	55-79	3-10 (0-0)
2025-01-02	North Alabama	A	Conference	L	66-82	3-11 (0-1)
2025-01-04	Cent Arkansas	A	Conference	L	65-71	3-12 (0-2)
2025-01-09	Jacksonville	H	Conference	L	59-74	3-13 (0-3)
2025-01-11	North Florida	H	Conference	L	83-98	3-14 (0-4)
2025-01-16	Lipscomb	H	Conference	L	53-87	3-15 (0-5)
2025-01-18	E Kentucky	A	Conference	L	69-72	3-16 (0-6)
2025-01-23	FGCU	H	Conference	L	61-77	3-17 (0-7)
2025-01-25	Stetson	H	Conference	L	76-81	3-18 (0-8)
2025-01-30	Austin Peay	A	Conference	L	77-86	3-19 (0-9)
2025-02-01	Lipscomb	A	Conference	L	80-87	3-20 (0-10)
2025-02-06	North Florida	A	Conference	L	88-95	3-21 (0-11)
2025-02-08	Jacksonville	A	Conference	L	64-73	3-22 (0-12)
2025-02-13	Queens University	H	Conference	L	87-92	3-23 (0-13)
2025-02-15	West Georgia	H	Conference	L	76-81	3-24 (0-14)
2025-02-18	Austin Peay	H	Conference	W	94-68	4-24 (1-14)
2025-02-20	E Kentucky	H	Conference	W	80-74	5-24 (2-14)
2025-02-24	Stetson	A	Conference	L	67-69	5-25 (2-15)
2025-02-26	FGCU	A	Conference	L	61-80	5-26 (2-16)
2025-11-03	Georgia	A	Non-Conference	L	59-104	0-1 (0-0)
2025-11-08	Kansas State	A	Non-Conference	L	71-98	0-2 (0-0)
2025-11-12	Hanover	H	Non-D1	W	94-55	1-2 (0-0)
2025-11-15	Wofford	H	Non-Conference	L	86-94	1-3 (0-0)
2025-11-19	Notre Dame	A	Non-Conference	L	79-86	1-4 (0-0)
2025-11-24	The Citadel	A	Non-Conference	W	70-58	2-4 (0-0)
2025-11-25	Houston Christian	H	Non-Conference	W	74-69	3-4 (0-0)
2025-11-29	Northern Illinois	A	Non-Conference	-	-	-
2025-12-03	Midway University	H	Non-D1	W	99-60	4-4 (0-0)
2025-12-06	Murray State	A	Non-Conference	L	68-81	4-5 (0-0)
2025-12-13	Northern Kentucky	H	Non-Conference	L	76-80	4-6 (0-0)
2025-12-17	Chattanooga	H	Non-Conference	W	79-64	5-6 (0-0)
2025-12-23	Kentucky	A	Non-Conference	L	85-99	5-7 (0-0)
2026-01-01	West Georgia	A	Conference	L	85-87	5-8 (0-1)
2026-01-03	Queens University	A	Conference	L	76-98	5-9 (0-2)
2026-01-08	Central Arkansas	H	Conference	W	84-78	6-9 (1-2)
2026-01-10	North Alabama	H	Conference	L	73-82	6-10 (1-3)
2026-01-15	Lipscomb	A	Conference	L	71-81	6-11 (1-4)
2026-01-17	Eastern Kentucky	A	Conference	L	69-89	6-12 (1-5)
2026-01-22	Jacksonville	A	Conference	W	77-70	7-12 (2-5)
2026-01-24	North Florida	A	Conference	L	114-117	7-13 (2-6)
2026-01-28	West Georgia	H	Conference	W	77-74	8-13 (3-6)
2026-01-31	Queens University	H	Conference	W	78-75	9-13 (4-6)
2026-02-05	Stetson	H	Conference	W	92-71	10-13 (5-6)
2026-02-07	Florida Gulf Coast	H	Conference	W	81-65	11-13 (6-6)
2026-02-11	Central Arkansas	A	Conference	L	76-84	11-14 (6-7)
2026-02-14	Austin Peay	A	Conference	L	70-90	11-15 (6-8)
2026-02-18	Lipscomb	H	Conference	L	72-75	11-16 (6-9)
2026-02-21	Eastern Kentucky	H	Conference	L	92-95	11-17 (6-10)
2026-02-25	North Alabama	A	Conference	L	68-73	11-18 (6-11)
2026-02-28	Austin Peay	H	Conference	W	111-97	12-18 (7-11)
2026-03-04	Jacksonville	N	Conference Tournament	W	82-79	13-18 (7-11)
2026-03-06	Central Arkansas	N	Conference Tournament	L	73-86	13-19 (7-11)

Bellarmine Offense

Metric	Bellarmine	Opponent	Metric

Bellarmine Defense

Metric	Bellarmine	Opponent	Metric

Model Predictions

Model	Bellarmine	Opponent	Predicted Score	Spread	Result	MAE

Season:

Show:

Reset All

of games selected.

Game Select

Show

of 40 min selected.

reset

Game Clock

Hide

of 40 min selected.

reset

Game Flow

Hide

of plays selected.

reset

of sec selected.

reset

Shot Clock

Hide

of sec selected.

Shot Chart

Hide

invert

Player Stats

Hide

Season:

Show:

Reset All

of games selected.

Game Select

Show

Game Clock

Hide

Game Flow

Hide

of plays selected.

Opponent Shot Clock

Hide

Opponent Shot Chart

Hide

reset invert

Opponent Stats (Top 20)

Hide

Showing - of

Location invert reset

Result invert reset

Game Type invert reset

Points Per Possession reset

Mean
Std
Median
Min
Max

selected of records.

Showing - of

Offense: Vitals

Shooting

2025-26 Season Mean: 0.596
Rank: 1 of 12 in ASUN, 5 of 365 in D1
Trend: Moderately Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 3 of 12 in ASUN, 61 of 365 in D1

5th

Turnovers

2025-26 Season Mean: 0.139
Rank: 1 of 12 in ASUN, 62 of 365 in D1
Trend: Weakly Down, Weakening
Trend Rank: 6 of 12 in ASUN, 185 of 365 in D1

62nd

Off Reb Pct

2025-26 Season Mean: 20.400
Rank: 12 of 12 in ASUN, 350 of 365 in D1
Trend: Weakly Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 3 of 12 in ASUN, 81 of 365 in D1

350th

FT Rate

2025-26 Season Mean: 0.356
Rank: 4 of 12 in ASUN, 188 of 365 in D1
Trend: Weakly Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 5 of 12 in ASUN, 133 of 365 in D1

188th

Defense: Vitals

Opp Shooting

2025-26 Season Mean: 0.600
Rank: 12 of 12 in ASUN, 365 of 365 in D1
Trend: Moderately Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 9 of 12 in ASUN, 240 of 365 in D1

365th

Opp Turnovers

2025-26 Season Mean: 0.142
Rank: 5 of 12 in ASUN, 272 of 365 in D1
Trend: Moderately Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 8 of 12 in ASUN, 204 of 365 in D1

272nd

Def Reb Pct

2025-26 Season Mean: 66.270
Rank: 11 of 12 in ASUN, 345 of 365 in D1
Trend: Weakly Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 8 of 12 in ASUN, 210 of 365 in D1

345th

Opp FT Rate

2025-26 Season Mean: 0.352
Rank: 7 of 12 in ASUN, 163 of 365 in D1
Trend: Weakly Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 8 of 12 in ASUN, 220 of 365 in D1

163rd

Note: These are Dean Oliver's Four Factors of Basketball Success. It's fairly intuitive: When a team has the ball, they can do one of 4 things: (1) Get a bucket, (2) Turn the ball over, (3) Shoot the ball, miss, then rebound to retain possession, or (4) Get fouled and either retain possession or head to the line. These four factors are measured by (1) Effective Field Goal percentage (EFG) = (FGM + 0.5*3FGM)/FGA, (2) Turnover Pct = # TOs/Possessions, (3) Offensive Rebounding % = OR/(OR+Opp DR), and (4) Free Throw Rate = FTA/FGA. The stats are repeated on the defensive side using the opponents' numbers.

Adj Off Eff

Season
Avg: 117.62

89th

FGM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 42.3%

11th

FGA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 81.2%

295th

FG Pct

Season
Avg: 52.1%

2nd

2Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 59.3%

212th

2PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 29.6%

33rd

2PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 48.2%

236th

2Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 61.6%

7th

3Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 40.7%

154th

3PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 12.7%

96th

3PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 33.0%

183rd

3Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 38.0%

22nd

FT Rate

Season
Avg: 35.6%

188th

FTM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 22.1%

135th

FTA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 28.0%

226th

FT Pct

Season
Avg: 79.8%

5th

Assists per FGM

Season
Avg: 53.4%

153rd

Balls Stolen Per Poss

Season
Avg: 8.4%

124th

Balls Blocked Per FGA

Season
Avg: 4.1%

109th

Fouls Drawn Per Poss

Season
Avg: 24.6%

149th

Turnovers

Season
Avg: 13.9%

62nd

Off Reb Pct

Season
Avg: 20.4%

350th

Off Tempo

Season
Avg: 66.86

320th

Points per Poss

Season
Avg: 1.19

15th

Shooting

Season
Avg: 0.60

5th

Adj Def Eff

Season
Avg: 132.61

364th

Opp FGM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 42.3%

358th

Opp FGA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 86.1%

302nd

Opp FG Pct (%)

Season
Avg: 49.6%

355th

Opp 2Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 49.6%

4th

Opp 2PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 24.7%

101st

Opp 2PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 42.7%

10th

Opp 2Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 58.6%

352nd

Opp 3Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 50.4%

362nd

Opp 3PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 17.6%

364th

Opp 3PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 43.4%

364th

Opp 3Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 40.9%

365th

Opp FT Rate

Season
Avg: 35.2%

163rd

Opp FTM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 21.7%

213th

Opp FTA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 29.7%

203rd

Opp FT Pct

Season
Avg: 72.9%

227th

Opp Assists per FGM

Season
Avg: 61.7%

354th

Steals Per Poss

Season
Avg: 8.7%

226th

Blocks Per FGA

Season
Avg: 2.5%

355th

Fouls Per Poss

Season
Avg: 25.7%

216th

Opp Turnovers

Season
Avg: 14.2%

272nd

Def Reb Pct

Season
Avg: 66.3%

345th

Opp Off Tempo

Season
Avg: 67.25

309th

Opp Points per Poss

Season
Avg: 1.24

365th

Opp Shooting

Season
Avg: 0.60

365th