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Incarnate Word

Model	Score	Rank
Adj EM	-6.56	227
Elo	1395.78	302
RPI	0.458	256

Updated through 2025-04-07

Efficiency Margin Rank Trend

Elo Rank Trend

RPI Rank Trend

About the models: The Adj EM model (Adjusted Efficiency Margin) is the difference between the Adjusted Offensive Efficiency and Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Essentially, it is a PPP (points per possession) differential adjusted for the quality of competition. The data points that are plotted are the calculated efficiency margins on each particular date. In practice, the adjusted offensive and defensive efficiencies for each game change with each new game result. So, the effect of any particular game result becomes less important as the season unfolds. This is evident in the plot as there are fairly large efficiency fluctations at the beginning of each new season. The effect is similar with the RPI: the scores and ranks become more stable as the season progresses.

The Elo model does not reset each year and so does not suffer from the same sort of early season data deficiency issues as season efficiency margins and RPI. The downside of this is that the model tends to lag the Adj EM and RPI models which quickly reflect changes in coaching or team personnel. The Elo model is used extensively at fivethirtyeight for their NFL and NBA predictive models. This Elo model has the following parameters: Starting Elo=1500, K=20, Home Court Advantage = 100; At the beginning of each new season, starting Elo is 0.75 previous season Elo + 0.25 Mean Elo (1505).

Date	Opponent	Site	Type	Result	Score	Record (Conf)
2025-11-03	Colorado State	A	Non-Conference	-	-	-
2025-11-07	Jarvis Christian	H	Non-D1	-	-	-
2025-11-11	Southwestern Christian	H	Non-D1	-	-	-
2025-11-16	Indiana	A	Non-Conference	-	-	-
2025-11-20	Southern Indiana	N	Non-Conference	-	-	-
2025-11-26	Texas Lutheran	H	Non-D1	-	-	-
2025-12-01	McNeese	H	Conference	-	-	-
2025-12-06	Nicholls	A	Conference	-	-	-
2025-12-08	New Orleans	A	Conference	-	-	-
2025-12-15	TCU	A	Non-Conference	-	-	-
2025-12-21	Northern Arizona	H	Non-Conference	-	-	-
2025-12-30	SE Louisiana	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-03	Houston Christian	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-05	UT Rio Grande Valley	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-10	Lamar	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-12	Stephen F. Austin	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-17	Northwestern State	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-19	East Texas A&M	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-24	Texas A&M-Corpus Christi	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-26	Houston Christian	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-31	UT Rio Grande Valley	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-02	Texas A&M-Corpus Christi	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-07	McNeese	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-09	SE Louisiana	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-14	Nicholls	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-16	New Orleans	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-21	East Texas A&M	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-23	Northwestern State	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-28	Lamar	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-03-02	Stephen F. Austin	H	Conference	-	-	-

Date	Opponent	Site	Type	Result	Score	Record
2013-11-11	Trinity University (TX)	A	Non-D1	W	74-62	1-0 (0-0)
2013-11-16	Huston-Tillotson	A	Non-D1	W	85-78	2-0 (0-0)
2013-11-19	Northwood University	H	Non-D1	W	106-94	3-0 (0-0)
2013-11-22	Southwestern	A	Non-D1	W	80-61	4-0 (0-0)
2013-11-26	North Texas	A	Non-Conference	L	67-84	4-1 (0-0)
2013-11-30	Texas A&M-International	H	Non-D1	W	75-56	5-1 (0-0)
2013-12-04	St. Edward's	H	Non-D1	W	77-67	6-1 (0-0)
2013-12-14	McMurry	H	Non-D1	W	83-56	7-1 (0-0)
2013-12-16	Open Bible	H	Non-D1	W	96-60	8-1 (0-0)
2013-12-17	Open Bible	H	Non-D1	W	98-53	9-1 (0-0)
2013-12-30	Huston-Tillotson	H	Non-D1	W	102-73	10-1 (0-0)
2014-01-04	Our Lady of the Lake	H	Non-D1	W	100-85	11-1 (0-0)
2014-01-09	SE Louisiana	A	Conference	L	72-76	11-2 (0-1)
2014-01-11	New Orleans	A	Conference	W	78-55	12-2 (1-1)
2014-01-16	Cent Arkansas	H	Conference	W	87-72	13-2 (2-1)
2014-01-18	Oral Roberts	H	Conference	L	77-79	13-3 (2-2)
2014-01-23	Sam Houston	H	Conference	W	85-74	14-3 (3-2)
2014-01-25	Lamar	H	Conference	W	75-64	15-3 (4-2)
2014-01-30	Northwestern St	A	Conference	L	86-100	15-4 (4-3)
2014-02-01	SF Austin	A	Conference	L	74-76	15-5 (4-4)
2014-02-06	Texas A&M-CC	H	Conference	W	82-78	16-5 (5-4)
2014-02-08	Houston Baptist	H	Conference	W	89-82	17-5 (6-4)
2014-02-13	Abil Christian	H	Conference	W	80-68	18-5 (7-4)
2014-02-27	McNeese	A	Conference	L	72-87	18-6 (7-5)
2014-03-01	Nicholls	A	Conference	W	69-67	19-6 (8-5)
2014-03-08	Abil Christian	A	Conference	W	59-56	20-6 (9-5)
2014-11-14	Texas-Tyler	H	Non-D1	W	89-49	1-0 (0-0)
2014-11-18	Huston-Tillotson	H	Non-D1	W	94-63	2-0 (0-0)
2014-11-22	Princeton	A	Non-Conference	W	79-68	3-0 (0-0)
2014-11-24	Texas A&M-International	H	Non-D1	W	105-83	4-0 (0-0)
2014-12-04	St. Edward's	H	Non-D1	W	85-68	5-0 (0-0)
2014-12-08	UTEP	A	Non-Conference	L	65-81	5-1 (0-0)
2014-12-10	Nebraska	A	Non-Conference	W	74-73	6-1 (0-0)
2014-12-17	Grand Canyon	A	Non-Conference	W	82-80	7-1 (0-0)
2014-12-20	UMKC	A	Non-Conference	W	110-104	8-1 (0-0)
2014-12-22	Tulsa	A	Non-Conference	L	47-76	8-2 (0-0)
2015-01-03	Sam Houston	A	Conference	L	78-84	8-3 (0-1)
2015-01-10	Northwestern St	A	Conference	L	101-103	8-4 (0-2)
2015-01-12	New Orleans	H	Conference	W	97-66	9-4 (1-2)
2015-01-17	SE Louisiana	H	Conference	L	98-108	9-5 (1-3)
2015-01-24	Abil Christian	A	Conference	W	77-61	10-5 (2-3)
2015-01-26	McNeese	H	Conference	W	86-84	11-5 (3-3)
2015-01-31	Nicholls	A	Conference	W	69-58	12-5 (4-3)
2015-02-03	Texas A&M-CC	A	Conference	L	70-71	12-6 (4-4)
2015-02-07	Lamar	H	Conference	W	78-72	13-6 (5-4)
2015-02-10	Nicholls	H	Conference	W	73-64	14-6 (6-4)
2015-02-13	Cent Arkansas	A	Conference	W	77-67	15-6 (7-4)
2015-02-16	SF Austin	H	Conference	L	76-90	15-7 (7-5)
2015-02-21	Texas A&M-CC	H	Conference	W	74-68	16-7 (8-5)
2015-02-23	Houston Baptist	H	Conference	W	77-64	17-7 (9-5)
2015-02-28	Lamar	A	Conference	L	66-79	17-8 (9-6)
2015-03-02	SF Austin	A	Conference	L	62-83	17-9 (9-7)
2015-03-05	Abil Christian	H	Conference	W	64-52	18-9 (10-7)
2015-03-07	Houston Baptist	A	Conference	L	77-78	18-10 (10-8)
2015-03-17	Louisiana	N	CIT - 1ST ROUND	L	68-83	18-11 (10-8)
2015-11-13	Texas Lutheran	H	Non-D1	W	86-65	1-0 (0-0)
2015-11-16	Schreiner	H	Non-D1	W	73-49	2-0 (0-0)
2015-11-18	Purdue	A	Non-Conference	L	61-96	2-1 (0-0)
2015-11-24	Oklahoma	A	Non-Conference	L	63-96	2-2 (0-0)
2015-12-03	Dallas Christian	H	Non-D1	W	108-71	3-2 (0-0)
2015-12-07	Sacramento St	A	Non-Conference	L	70-73	3-3 (0-0)
2015-12-09	Cal	A	Non-Conference	L	62-74	3-4 (0-0)
2015-12-15	Our Lady of the Lake	H	Non-D1	L	97-99	3-5 (0-0)
2015-12-18	St John's	A	Non-Conference	W	73-51	4-5 (0-0)
2015-12-22	LIU Brooklyn	A	Non-Conference	L	59-66	4-6 (0-0)
2015-12-29	Rice	A	Non-Conference	W	82-76	5-6 (0-0)
2016-01-02	Sam Houston	H	Conference	L	72-78	5-7 (0-1)
2016-01-09	Northwestern St	H	Conference	W	70-56	6-7 (1-1)
2016-01-11	New Orleans	A	Conference	W	71-68	7-7 (2-1)
2016-01-16	SE Louisiana	A	Conference	W	75-71	8-7 (3-1)
2016-01-23	Abil Christian	H	Conference	W	74-60	9-7 (4-1)
2016-01-25	McNeese	A	Conference	L	76-79	9-8 (4-2)
2016-01-30	Nicholls	H	Conference	W	68-61	10-8 (5-2)
2016-02-02	Texas A&M-CC	H	Conference	W	70-65	11-8 (6-2)
2016-02-06	Lamar	A	Conference	W	74-71	12-8 (7-2)
2016-02-08	Nicholls	A	Conference	L	60-71	12-9 (7-3)
2016-02-12	Cent Arkansas	H	Conference	W	71-69	13-9 (8-3)
2016-02-15	SF Austin	A	Conference	L	46-84	13-10 (8-4)
2016-02-20	Texas A&M-CC	A	Conference	L	69-90	13-11 (8-5)
2016-02-22	Houston Baptist	A	Conference	W	97-91	14-11 (9-5)
2016-02-27	Lamar	H	Conference	W	89-70	15-11 (10-5)
2016-02-29	SF Austin	H	Conference	L	58-84	15-12 (10-6)
2016-03-03	Abil Christian	A	Conference	W	74-70	16-12 (11-6)
2016-03-05	Houston Baptist	H	Conference	W	97-86	17-12 (12-6)
2016-11-11	Texas	A	Non-Conference	L	73-78	0-1 (0-0)
2016-11-15	St. Edward's	H	Non-D1	W	93-90	1-1 (0-0)
2016-11-21	Howard Payne	H	Non-D1	W	91-61	2-1 (0-0)
2016-11-26	Rice	H	Non-Conference	L	79-87	2-2 (0-0)
2016-11-30	Texas Tech	A	Non-Conference	L	48-69	2-3 (0-0)
2016-12-03	LIU Brooklyn	H	Non-Conference	W	90-79	3-3 (0-0)
2016-12-07	Texas Lutheran	H	Non-D1	W	78-71	4-3 (0-0)
2016-12-10	Texas A&M-International	H	Non-D1	W	83-68	5-3 (0-0)
2016-12-14	UNLV	A	Non-Conference	L	64-92	5-4 (0-0)
2016-12-17	Loyola Mary	A	Non-Conference	L	90-91	5-5 (0-0)
2016-12-21	Memphis	A	Non-Conference	L	71-95	5-6 (0-0)
2016-12-31	Nicholls	A	Conference	L	84-94	5-7 (0-1)
2017-01-02	SE Louisiana	A	Conference	L	63-74	5-8 (0-2)
2017-01-05	Northwestern St	H	Conference	W	84-80	6-8 (1-2)
2017-01-07	New Orleans	H	Conference	L	72-87	6-9 (1-3)
2017-01-11	Lamar	A	Conference	L	72-87	6-10 (1-4)
2017-01-14	Houston Baptist	H	Conference	W	82-77	7-10 (2-4)
2017-01-21	SF Austin	H	Conference	W	70-68	8-10 (3-4)
2017-01-26	Abil Christian	H	Conference	W	82-79	9-10 (4-4)
2017-01-28	Cent Arkansas	A	Conference	W	81-80	10-10 (5-4)
2017-02-02	McNeese	H	Conference	L	79-87	10-11 (5-5)
2017-02-04	Houston Baptist	A	Conference	L	70-84	10-12 (5-6)
2017-02-09	SF Austin	A	Conference	L	79-87	10-13 (5-7)
2017-02-11	Sam Houston	A	Conference	L	63-72	10-14 (5-8)
2017-02-15	Texas A&M-CC	H	Conference	L	81-97	10-15 (5-9)
2017-02-18	Sam Houston	H	Conference	W	69-53	11-15 (6-9)
2017-02-23	Nicholls	H	Conference	L	68-77	11-16 (6-10)
2017-03-01	Abil Christian	A	Conference	W	89-75	12-16 (7-10)
2017-03-04	Texas A&M-CC	A	Conference	L	64-81	12-17 (7-11)
2017-11-10	Southwestern	H	Non-D1	W	87-71	1-0 (0-0)
2017-11-13	Trinity University (TX)	H	Non-D1	W	93-57	2-0 (0-0)
2017-11-17	McMurry	H	Non-D1	W	88-49	3-0 (0-0)
2017-11-22	Loyola Mary	H	Non-Conference	L	87-91	3-1 (0-0)
2017-11-25	Houston	A	Non-Conference	L	58-97	3-2 (0-0)
2017-11-29	Gonzaga	A	Non-Conference	L	68-103	3-3 (0-0)
2017-12-05	Texas Lutheran	H	Non-D1	W	91-63	4-3 (0-0)
2017-12-16	UMKC	H	Non-Conference	W	77-73	5-3 (0-0)
2017-12-19	UTEP	A	Non-Conference	L	66-72	5-4 (0-0)
2017-12-22	Florida	A	Non-Conference	L	60-75	5-5 (0-0)
2017-12-28	McNeese	A	Conference	L	62-85	5-6 (0-1)
2017-12-30	Nicholls	A	Conference	L	60-77	5-7 (0-2)
2018-01-06	Sam Houston	H	Conference	L	74-85	5-8 (0-3)
2018-01-10	Cent Arkansas	A	Conference	L	76-92	5-9 (0-4)
2018-01-13	SF Austin	A	Conference	L	63-83	5-10 (0-5)
2018-01-17	Lamar	H	Conference	L	69-90	5-11 (0-6)
2018-01-20	New Orleans	A	Conference	L	70-74	5-12 (0-7)
2018-01-24	Houston Baptist	A	Conference	L	86-102	5-13 (0-8)
2018-01-27	New Orleans	H	Conference	L	58-68	5-14 (0-9)
2018-02-03	Texas A&M-CC	H	Conference	L	51-56	5-15 (0-10)
2018-02-07	SE Louisiana	H	Conference	L	68-86	5-16 (0-11)
2018-02-10	Abil Christian	A	Conference	L	69-80	5-17 (0-12)
2018-02-14	Lamar	A	Conference	L	62-85	5-18 (0-13)
2018-02-17	SF Austin	H	Conference	L	70-81	5-19 (0-14)
2018-02-21	Northwestern St	H	Conference	L	54-66	5-20 (0-15)
2018-02-24	Texas A&M-CC	A	Conference	W	69-62	6-20 (1-15)
2018-02-28	Houston Baptist	H	Conference	W	83-71	7-20 (2-15)
2018-03-03	Abil Christian	H	Conference	L	59-69	7-21 (2-16)
2018-11-06	Texas Tech	A	Non-Conference	L	37-87	0-1 (0-0)
2018-11-09	St. Francis (ILL)	H	Non-D1	W	63-49	1-1 (0-0)
2018-11-10	Texas-Tyler	H	Non-D1	W	66-54	2-1 (0-0)
2018-11-12	Texas Lutheran	H	Non-D1	W	70-59	3-1 (0-0)
2018-11-16	Montana	N	Non-Conference	L	66-93	3-2 (0-0)
2018-11-17	North Dakota St	N	Non-Conference	W	80-78	4-2 (0-0)
2018-11-18	FAU	N	Non-Conference	L	68-71	4-3 (0-0)
2018-11-21	N Colorado	H	Non-Conference	L	64-90	4-4 (0-0)
2018-11-25	SIUE	A	Non-Conference	L	68-80	4-5 (0-0)
2018-12-04	Trinity University (TX)	H	Non-D1	W	82-57	5-5 (0-0)
2018-12-09	LSU	A	Non-Conference	L	50-91	5-6 (0-0)
2018-12-17	UIC	A	Non-Conference	L	57-63	5-7 (0-0)
2018-12-19	DePaul	A	Non-Conference	L	71-81	5-8 (0-0)
2019-01-02	McNeese	H	Conference	L	77-88	5-9 (0-1)
2019-01-05	Nicholls	H	Conference	W	65-58	6-9 (1-1)
2019-01-12	Sam Houston	A	Conference	L	52-66	6-10 (1-2)
2019-01-16	Cent Arkansas	H	Conference	L	60-77	6-11 (1-3)
2019-01-19	SF Austin	H	Conference	L	71-74	6-12 (1-4)
2019-01-23	Lamar	A	Conference	L	81-87	6-13 (1-5)
2019-01-26	New Orleans	H	Conference	L	52-61	6-14 (1-6)
2019-01-30	Houston Baptist	H	Conference	L	92-96	6-15 (1-7)
2019-02-02	New Orleans	A	Conference	L	72-89	6-16 (1-8)
2019-02-09	Texas A&M-CC	A	Conference	L	61-70	6-17 (1-9)
2019-02-13	SE Louisiana	A	Conference	L	64-70	6-18 (1-10)
2019-02-16	Abil Christian	H	Conference	L	48-68	6-19 (1-11)
2019-02-20	Lamar	H	Conference	L	58-76	6-20 (1-12)
2019-02-23	SF Austin	A	Conference	L	54-81	6-21 (1-13)
2019-02-27	Northwestern St	A	Conference	L	60-68	6-22 (1-14)
2019-03-02	Texas A&M-CC	H	Conference	L	72-74	6-23 (1-15)
2019-03-06	Houston Baptist	A	Conference	L	111-118	6-24 (1-16)
2019-03-09	Abil Christian	A	Conference	L	52-81	6-25 (1-17)
2019-11-06	Missouri	A	Non-Conference	L	42-82	0-1 (0-0)
2019-11-08	N Colorado	A	Non-Conference	L	61-83	0-2 (0-0)
2019-11-12	Texas Lutheran	H	Non-D1	W	86-60	1-2 (0-0)
2019-11-16	SIUE	H	Non-Conference	L	55-57	1-3 (0-0)
2019-11-22	Bethune-Cookman	H	Non-Conference	L	58-83	1-4 (0-0)
2019-11-23	St. Francis (ILL)	H	Non-D1	W	68-44	2-4 (0-0)
2019-11-24	E Illinois	H	Non-Conference	L	63-72	2-5 (0-0)
2019-12-01	Portland	A	Non-Conference	L	56-65	2-6 (0-0)
2019-12-03	Seattle	A	Non-Conference	L	60-81	2-7 (0-0)
2019-12-07	Trinity University (TX)	H	Non-D1	W	101-65	3-7 (0-0)
2019-12-18	Cent Arkansas	A	Conference	L	82-88	3-8 (0-1)
2019-12-21	Washington St	A	Non-Conference	L	59-87	3-9 (0-1)
2020-01-02	Nicholls	A	Conference	L	60-76	3-10 (0-2)
2020-01-08	Northwestern St	H	Conference	L	66-72	3-11 (0-3)
2020-01-11	New Orleans	H	Conference	W	73-70	4-11 (1-3)
2020-01-15	McNeese	A	Conference	L	56-72	4-12 (1-4)
2020-01-18	SF Austin	A	Conference	L	56-80	4-13 (1-5)
2020-01-22	Lamar	H	Conference	L	77-89	4-14 (1-6)
2020-01-25	Texas A&M-CC	H	Conference	L	47-68	4-15 (1-7)
2020-01-29	Houston Baptist	A	Conference	W	84-82	5-15 (2-7)
2020-02-01	Abil Christian	A	Conference	L	58-72	5-16 (2-8)
2020-02-05	Sam Houston	H	Conference	W	72-71	6-16 (3-8)
2020-02-08	SE Louisiana	H	Conference	W	82-75	7-16 (4-8)
2020-02-12	Northwestern St	A	Conference	L	60-70	7-17 (4-9)
2020-02-15	New Orleans	A	Conference	W	67-66	8-17 (5-9)
2020-02-19	McNeese	H	Conference	W	65-59	9-17 (6-9)
2020-02-22	SF Austin	H	Conference	L	56-80	9-18 (6-10)
2020-02-26	Lamar	A	Conference	L	66-86	9-19 (6-11)
2020-02-29	Texas A&M-CC	A	Conference	L	70-78	9-20 (6-12)
2020-03-04	Houston Baptist	H	Conference	L	76-88	9-21 (6-13)
2020-03-07	Abil Christian	H	Conference	L	68-71	9-22 (6-14)
2020-11-27	Rice	H	Non-Conference	L	53-68	0-1 (0-0)
2020-11-29	Our Lady of the Lake	H	Non-D1	W	84-71	1-1 (0-0)
2020-12-02	Wyoming	A	Non-Conference	L	83-94	1-2 (0-0)
2020-12-05	Texas State	A	Non-Conference	L	64-72	1-3 (0-0)
2020-12-29	Texas Tech	A	Non-Conference	L	51-79	1-4 (0-0)
2020-12-31	McMurry	H	Non-D1	W	92-71	2-4 (0-0)
2021-01-01	McMurry	H	Non-D1	W	81-54	3-4 (0-0)
2021-01-06	Northwestern St	A	Conference	W	75-67	4-4 (1-0)
2021-01-09	New Orleans	A	Conference	L	64-86	4-5 (1-1)
2021-01-13	McNeese	H	Conference	W	83-61	5-5 (2-1)
2021-01-16	SF Austin	H	Conference	L	65-83	5-6 (2-2)
2021-01-23	Texas A&M-CC	H	Conference	W	72-53	6-6 (3-2)
2021-01-27	Houston Baptist	H	Conference	L	57-73	6-7 (3-3)
2021-01-30	Abil Christian	H	Conference	L	67-75	6-8 (3-4)
2021-02-03	Lamar	A	Conference	W	67-58	7-8 (4-4)
2021-02-06	Texas A&M-CC	A	Conference	W	58-53	8-8 (5-4)
2021-02-10	Northwestern St	H	Conference	L	67-68	8-9 (5-5)
2021-02-24	Lamar	H	Conference	L	45-67	8-10 (5-6)
2021-03-01	New Orleans	H	Conference	L	72-88	8-11 (5-7)
2021-03-03	Houston Baptist	A	Conference	L	67-72	8-12 (5-8)
2021-03-06	Abil Christian	A	Conference	L	60-85	8-13 (5-9)
2021-03-09	Houston Baptist	N	Conference Tournament	L	68-80	8-14 (5-9)
2021-11-09	Texas State	H	Non-Conference	L	57-75	0-1 (0-0)
2021-11-12	Baylor	A	Non-Conference	L	60-87	0-2 (0-0)
2021-11-16	Concordia Texas	H	Non-D1	L	78-82	0-3 (0-0)
2021-11-20	Texas Tech	N	Non-Conference	L	62-84	0-4 (0-0)
2021-11-26	SE Missouri St	H	Non-Conference	L	76-79	0-5 (0-0)
2021-11-27	Montana State	H	Non-Conference	L	64-83	0-6 (0-0)
2021-11-28	Portland	H	Non-Conference	L	68-77	0-7 (0-0)
2021-12-01	Our Lady of the Lake	H	Non-D1	W	93-66	1-7 (0-0)
2021-12-04	Abil Christian	A	Non-Conference	L	65-98	1-8 (0-0)
2021-12-11	Grambling	H	Non-Conference	W	72-62	2-8 (0-0)
2021-12-16	Rice	A	Non-Conference	L	55-85	2-9 (0-0)
2021-12-20	Purdue	A	Non-Conference	L	59-79	2-10 (0-0)
2021-12-28	Texas	A	Non-Conference	L	33-78	2-11 (0-0)
2022-01-02	Dallas Christian	H	Non-D1	W	90-45	3-11 (0-0)
2022-01-06	Nicholls	N	Conference Tournament	L	56-87	3-12 (0-0)
2022-01-07	Northwestern St	N	Conference Tournament	L	80-83	3-13 (0-0)
2022-01-08	Houston Baptist	N	Conference Tournament	W	60-50	4-13 (0-0)
2022-01-15	Texas A&M-CC	A	Conference	L	64-80	4-14 (0-1)
2022-01-20	Houston Baptist	H	Conference	L	65-68	4-15 (0-2)
2022-01-22	McNeese	H	Conference	L	72-82	4-16 (0-3)
2022-01-27	Northwestern St	A	Conference	L	70-79	4-17 (0-4)
2022-01-29	SE Louisiana	A	Conference	L	68-78	4-18 (0-5)
2022-02-03	Nicholls	H	Conference	L	60-63	4-19 (0-6)
2022-02-05	New Orleans	H	Conference	W	78-70	5-19 (1-6)
2022-02-10	Nicholls	A	Conference	L	58-69	5-20 (1-7)
2022-02-12	New Orleans	A	Conference	L	57-84	5-21 (1-8)
2022-02-17	Northwestern St	H	Conference	L	64-88	5-22 (1-9)
2022-02-19	SE Louisiana	H	Conference	W	92-84	6-22 (2-9)
2022-02-24	Houston Baptist	A	Conference	L	68-82	6-23 (2-10)
2022-02-26	McNeese	A	Conference	W	69-67	7-23 (3-10)
2022-03-05	Texas A&M-CC	H	Conference	L	68-77	7-24 (3-11)
2022-03-09	Houston Baptist	N	Conference Tournament	L	64-74	7-25 (3-11)
2022-11-07	North Dakota	H	Non-Conference	L	57-65	0-1 (0-0)
2022-11-12	UNLV	A	Non-Conference	L	63-88	0-2 (0-0)
2022-11-15	Texas Lutheran	H	Non-D1	W	84-47	1-2 (0-0)
2022-11-19	Valparaiso	A	Non-Conference	L	64-68	1-3 (0-0)
2022-11-22	Our Lady Of The Lake	H	Non-D1	W	85-76	2-3 (0-0)
2022-11-25	Dartmouth	N	Non-Conference	W	69-64	3-3 (0-0)
2022-11-27	Grambling	N	Non-Conference	W	63-61	4-3 (0-0)
2022-11-28	UTSA	A	Non-Conference	L	62-68	4-4 (0-0)
2022-11-30	Dallas Christian	H	Non-D1	W	112-64	5-4 (0-0)
2022-12-03	Grambling	A	Non-Conference	L	39-72	5-5 (0-0)
2022-12-11	Kansas State	A	Non-Conference	L	50-98	5-6 (0-0)
2022-12-16	Bethune-Cookman	H	Non-Conference	W	77-65	6-6 (0-0)
2022-12-21	FIU	A	Non-Conference	L	74-79	6-7 (0-0)
2022-12-31	Texas A&M-Commerce	A	Conference	L	74-82	6-8 (0-1)
2023-01-04	Texas A&M-CC	A	Conference	L	61-91	6-9 (0-2)
2023-01-07	Texas A&M-CC	H	Conference	L	71-80	6-10 (0-3)
2023-01-12	New Orleans	H	Conference	L	79-85	6-11 (0-4)
2023-01-14	SE Louisiana	H	Conference	L	71-75	6-12 (0-5)
2023-01-19	Houston Baptist	A	Conference	W	89-78	7-12 (1-5)
2023-01-21	Lamar	A	Conference	W	70-64	8-12 (2-5)
2023-01-26	McNeese	H	Conference	W	70-65	9-12 (3-5)
2023-01-28	Nicholls	H	Conference	W	69-67	10-12 (4-5)
2023-02-02	SE Louisiana	A	Conference	L	67-77	10-13 (4-6)
2023-02-04	New Orleans	A	Conference	W	78-70	11-13 (5-6)
2023-02-09	Lamar	H	Conference	L	59-68	11-14 (5-7)
2023-02-11	Houston Baptist	H	Conference	L	78-84	11-15 (5-8)
2023-02-16	McNeese	A	Conference	L	76-78	11-16 (5-9)
2023-02-18	Nicholls	A	Conference	L	74-84	11-17 (5-10)
2023-02-23	Northwestern St	H	Conference	L	66-71	11-18 (5-11)
2023-02-25	Texas A&M-Commerce	H	Conference	W	79-75	12-18 (6-11)
2023-03-01	Northwestern St	A	Conference	L	64-81	12-19 (6-12)
2023-11-06	Texas	A	Non-Conference	L	56-88	0-1 (0-0)
2023-11-11	Tulsa	A	Non-Conference	L	71-85	0-2 (0-0)
2023-11-14	Schreiner	H	Non-D1	W	104-63	1-2 (0-0)
2023-11-18	AR-Pine Bluff	A	Non-Conference	W	100-81	2-2 (0-0)
2023-11-22	Jacksonville St	H	Non-Conference	W	67-66	3-2 (0-0)
2023-11-25	UTSA	A	Non-Conference	L	80-90	3-3 (0-0)
2023-11-26	Jacksonville St	N	Non-Conference	L	65-67	3-4 (0-0)
2023-12-01	Bethune-Cookman	A	Non-Conference	L	82-96	3-5 (0-0)
2023-12-09	N Arizona	H	Non-Conference	L	75-76	3-6 (0-0)
2023-12-13	Rice	A	Non-Conference	L	57-80	3-7 (0-0)
2023-12-21	UIC	A	Non-Conference	W	67-66	4-7 (0-0)
2023-12-30	UT Rio Grande	A	Non-Conference	L	74-77	4-8 (0-0)
2024-01-02	Our Lady Of The Lake	H	Non-D1	W	83-74	5-8 (0-0)
2024-01-06	Texas A&M-CC	H	Conference	L	65-75	5-9 (0-1)
2024-01-08	Lamar	A	Conference	L	59-75	5-10 (0-2)
2024-01-13	Northwestern St	A	Conference	L	71-97	5-11 (0-3)
2024-01-20	McNeese	H	Conference	L	66-80	5-12 (0-4)
2024-01-22	Nicholls	H	Conference	L	74-78	5-13 (0-5)
2024-01-27	Houston Baptist	H	Conference	W	79-75	6-13 (1-5)
2024-01-31	Texas A&M-Commerce	A	Conference	L	66-71	6-14 (1-6)
2024-02-03	New Orleans	A	Conference	W	82-80	7-14 (2-6)
2024-02-05	SE Louisiana	A	Conference	L	64-76	7-15 (2-7)
2024-02-10	Houston Baptist	A	Conference	L	83-86	7-16 (2-8)
2024-02-12	Lamar	H	Conference	W	76-67	8-16 (3-8)
2024-02-17	Northwestern St	H	Conference	L	61-81	8-17 (3-9)
2024-02-19	Texas A&M-Commerce	H	Conference	L	72-76	8-18 (3-10)
2024-02-24	McNeese	A	Conference	L	71-87	8-19 (3-11)
2024-02-26	Nicholls	A	Conference	L	82-92	8-20 (3-12)
2024-03-02	New Orleans	H	Conference	L	80-87	8-21 (3-13)
2024-03-04	SE Louisiana	H	Conference	L	56-73	8-22 (3-14)
2024-03-06	Texas A&M-CC	A	Conference	L	52-71	8-23 (3-15)
2024-11-04	California Baptist	A	Non-Conference	L	78-83	0-1 (0-0)
2024-11-08	Southwestern (TX)	H	Non-D1	W	97-53	1-1 (0-0)
2024-11-12	PV A&M	H	Non-Conference	W	84-81	2-1 (0-0)
2024-11-16	AR-Pine Bluff	H	Non-Conference	W	92-64	3-1 (0-0)
2024-11-22	N Arizona	A	Non-Conference	L	74-75	3-2 (0-0)
2024-11-25	South Alabama	A	Non-Conference	L	63-84	3-3 (0-0)
2024-11-27	W Illinois	N	Non-Conference	W	86-75	4-3 (0-0)
2024-12-05	Northwestern St	H	Conference	L	70-72	4-4 (0-1)
2024-12-07	Texas A&M-Commerce	H	Conference	W	65-53	5-4 (1-1)
2024-12-10	Duke	A	Non-Conference	L	46-72	5-5 (1-1)
2024-12-15	Our Lady Of The Lake	H	Non-D1	W	93-69	6-5 (1-1)
2024-12-19	Schreiner	H	Non-D1	W	101-57	7-5 (1-1)
2024-12-29	Texas Lutheran	H	Non-D1	W	99-48	8-5 (1-1)
2025-01-04	SF Austin	A	Conference	W	55-49	9-5 (2-1)
2025-01-06	Lamar	A	Conference	L	58-72	9-6 (2-2)
2025-01-11	Houston Baptist	A	Conference	L	76-81	9-7 (2-3)
2025-01-13	Nicholls	H	Conference	L	82-88	9-8 (2-4)
2025-01-18	Texas A&M-CC	H	Conference	L	63-69	9-9 (2-5)
2025-01-20	UT Rio Grande	H	Conference	L	78-85	9-10 (2-6)
2025-01-25	SE Louisiana	A	Conference	L	63-86	9-11 (2-7)
2025-01-27	New Orleans	A	Conference	W	74-58	10-11 (3-7)
2025-02-01	Houston Baptist	H	Conference	W	74-64	11-11 (4-7)
2025-02-03	McNeese	A	Conference	L	65-67	11-12 (4-8)
2025-02-08	SE Louisiana	H	Conference	L	66-71	11-13 (4-9)
2025-02-10	New Orleans	H	Conference	W	75-65	12-13 (5-9)
2025-02-15	Texas A&M-CC	A	Conference	L	55-69	12-14 (5-10)
2025-02-17	UT Rio Grande	A	Conference	W	66-60	13-14 (6-10)
2025-02-22	SF Austin	H	Conference	W	63-61	14-14 (7-10)
2025-02-24	Lamar	H	Conference	W	73-61	15-14 (8-10)
2025-03-01	Texas A&M-Commerce	A	Conference	W	75-68	16-14 (9-10)
2025-03-03	Northwestern St	A	Conference	L	57-73	16-15 (9-11)
2025-03-09	SE Louisiana	N	Conference Tournament	W	71-67	17-15 (9-11)
2025-03-10	Nicholls	N	Conference Tournament	L	70-74	17-16 (9-11)
2025-03-23	Manhattan	N	Purple CBI - 1st Round	W	92-85	18-16 (9-11)
2025-03-24	Jacksonville	N	Purple CBI - Quarterfinal	W	87-71	19-16 (9-11)
2025-03-25	Illinois State	N	Purple CBI - Semifinal	L	73-78	19-17 (9-11)
2025-11-03	Colorado State	A	Non-Conference	-	-	-
2025-11-07	Jarvis Christian	H	Non-D1	-	-	-
2025-11-11	Southwestern Christian	H	Non-D1	-	-	-
2025-11-16	Indiana	A	Non-Conference	-	-	-
2025-11-20	Southern Indiana	N	Non-Conference	-	-	-
2025-11-26	Texas Lutheran	H	Non-D1	-	-	-
2025-12-01	McNeese	H	Conference	-	-	-
2025-12-06	Nicholls	A	Conference	-	-	-
2025-12-08	New Orleans	A	Conference	-	-	-
2025-12-15	TCU	A	Non-Conference	-	-	-
2025-12-21	Northern Arizona	H	Non-Conference	-	-	-
2025-12-30	SE Louisiana	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-03	Houston Christian	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-05	UT Rio Grande Valley	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-10	Lamar	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-12	Stephen F. Austin	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-17	Northwestern State	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-19	East Texas A&M	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-24	Texas A&M-Corpus Christi	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-26	Houston Christian	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-31	UT Rio Grande Valley	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-02	Texas A&M-Corpus Christi	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-07	McNeese	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-09	SE Louisiana	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-14	Nicholls	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-16	New Orleans	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-21	East Texas A&M	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-23	Northwestern State	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-28	Lamar	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-03-02	Stephen F. Austin	H	Conference	-	-	-

Incarnate Word Offense

Metric	Incarnate Word	Opponent	Metric

Incarnate Word Defense

Metric	Incarnate Word	Opponent	Metric

Model Predictions

Model	Incarnate Word	Opponent	Predicted Score	Spread	Result	MAE

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Offense: Vitals

Shooting

2024-25 Season Mean: 0.533
Rank: 3 of 12 in SLC, 86 of 363 in D1
Trend: Weakly Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 5 of 12 in SLC, 177 of 363 in D1

86th

Turnovers

2024-25 Season Mean: 0.156
Rank: 3 of 12 in SLC, 156 of 363 in D1
Trend: Moderately Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 4 of 12 in SLC, 90 of 363 in D1

156th

Off Reb Pct

2024-25 Season Mean: 0.396
Rank: 1 of 12 in SLC, 5 of 363 in D1
Trend: Strongly Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 7 of 12 in SLC, 293 of 363 in D1

5th

FT Rate

2024-25 Season Mean: 0.298
Rank: 9 of 12 in SLC, 291 of 363 in D1
Trend: Strongly Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 1 of 12 in SLC, 9 of 363 in D1

291st

Defense: Vitals

Opp Shooting

2024-25 Season Mean: 0.522
Rank: 9 of 12 in SLC, 242 of 363 in D1
Trend: Strongly Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 2 of 12 in SLC, 37 of 363 in D1

242nd

Opp Turnovers

2024-25 Season Mean: 0.165
Rank: 8 of 12 in SLC, 141 of 363 in D1
Trend: Weakly Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 3 of 12 in SLC, 71 of 363 in D1

141st

Def Reb Pct

2024-25 Season Mean: 0.707
Rank: 7 of 12 in SLC, 273 of 363 in D1
Trend: Strongly Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 12 of 12 in SLC, 337 of 363 in D1

273rd

Opp FT Rate

2024-25 Season Mean: 0.367
Rank: 9 of 12 in SLC, 261 of 363 in D1
Trend: Strongly Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 12 of 12 in SLC, 326 of 363 in D1

261st

Note: These are Dean Oliver's Four Factors of Basketball Success. It's fairly intuitive: When a team has the ball, they can do one of 4 things: (1) Get a bucket, (2) Turn the ball over, (3) Shoot the ball, miss, then rebound to retain possession, or (4) Get fouled and either retain possession or head to the line. These four factors are measured by (1) Effective Field Goal percentage (EFG) = (FGM + 0.5*3FGM)/FGA, (2) Turnover Pct = # TOs/Possessions, (3) Offensive Rebounding % = OR/(OR+Opp DR), and (4) Free Throw Rate = FTA/FGA. The stats are repeated on the defensive side using the opponents' numbers.

Adj Off Eff

Season
Avg: 113.25

178th

FGM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 40.7%

25th

FGA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 87.4%

38th

FG Pct

Season
Avg: 46.6%

75th

2Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 64.1%

97th

2PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 29.1%

40th

2PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 55.9%

51st

2Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 51.8%

172nd

3Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 35.9%

267th

3PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 11.6%

142nd

3PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 31.5%

218th

3Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 36.9%

37th

FT Rate

Season
Avg: 29.8%

291st

FTM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 17.3%

293rd

FTA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 25.3%

272nd

FT Pct

Season
Avg: 68.1%

296th

Assists per FGM

Season
Avg: 44.9%

329th

Balls Stolen Per Poss

Season
Avg: 8.9%

140th

Balls Blocked Per FGA

Season
Avg: 4.4%

144th

Fouls Drawn Per Poss

Season
Avg: 20.5%

340th

Turnovers

Season
Avg: 15.6%

156th

Off Reb Pct

Season
Avg: 39.6%

5th

Off Tempo

Season
Avg: 66.73

320th

Points per Poss

Season
Avg: 1.10

75th

Shooting

Season
Avg: 0.53

86th

Adj Def Eff

Season
Avg: 110.36

271st

Opp FGM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 38.2%

266th

Opp FGA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 82.3%

122nd

Opp FG Pct (%)

Season
Avg: 46.4%

293rd

Opp 2Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 68.3%

356th

Opp 2PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 28.9%

334th

Opp 2PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 56.5%

343rd

Opp 2Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 51.0%

172nd

Opp 3Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 31.7%

8th

Opp 3PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 9.3%

28th

Opp 3PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 25.8%

8th

Opp 3Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 34.7%

246th

Opp FT Rate

Season
Avg: 36.7%

261st

Opp FTM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 20.9%

245th

Opp FTA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 29.6%

272nd

Opp FT Pct

Season
Avg: 70.1%

96th

Opp Assists per FGM

Season
Avg: 48.1%

94th

Steals Per Poss

Season
Avg: 9.7%

169th

Blocks Per FGA

Season
Avg: 5.3%

104th

Fouls Per Poss

Season
Avg: 25.2%

239th

Opp Turnovers

Season
Avg: 16.5%

141st

Def Reb Pct

Season
Avg: 70.7%

273rd

Opp Off Tempo

Season
Avg: 67.06

301st

Opp Points per Poss

Season
Avg: 1.06

242nd

Opp Shooting

Season
Avg: 0.5%

242nd