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Incarnate Word

Model	Score	Rank
Adj EM	-22.13	339
Elo	1376.33	326
RPI	0.404	332

Updated through 2026-02-01

Efficiency Margin Rank Trend

Elo Rank Trend

RPI Rank Trend

About the models: The Adj EM model (Adjusted Efficiency Margin) is the difference between the Adjusted Offensive Efficiency and Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Essentially, it is a PPP (points per possession) differential adjusted for the quality of competition. The data points that are plotted are the calculated efficiency margins on each particular date. In practice, the adjusted offensive and defensive efficiencies for each game change with each new game result. So, the effect of any particular game result becomes less important as the season unfolds. This is evident in the plot as there are fairly large efficiency fluctations at the beginning of each new season. The effect is similar with the RPI: the scores and ranks become more stable as the season progresses.

The Elo model does not reset each year and so does not suffer from the same sort of early season data deficiency issues as season efficiency margins and RPI. The downside of this is that the model tends to lag the Adj EM and RPI models which quickly reflect changes in coaching or team personnel. The Elo model is used extensively at fivethirtyeight for their NFL and NBA predictive models. This Elo model has the following parameters: Starting Elo=1500, K=20, Home Court Advantage = 100; At the beginning of each new season, starting Elo is 0.75 previous season Elo + 0.25 Mean Elo (1505).

Date	Opponent	Site	Type	Result	Score	Record (Conf)
2026-02-02	Texas A&M-Corpus Christi	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-07	McNeese	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-09	SE Louisiana	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-14	Nicholls	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-16	New Orleans	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-21	East Texas A&M	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-23	Northwestern State	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-28	Lamar	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-03-02	Stephen F. Austin	H	Conference	-	-	-

Date	Opponent	Site	Type	Result	Score	Record
2013-11-11	Trinity University (TX)	A	Non-D1	W	74-62	1-0 (0-0)
2013-11-16	Huston-Tillotson	A	Non-D1	W	85-78	2-0 (0-0)
2013-11-19	Northwood University	H	Non-D1	W	106-94	3-0 (0-0)
2013-11-22	Southwestern	A	Non-D1	W	80-61	4-0 (0-0)
2013-11-26	North Texas	A	Non-Conference	L	67-84	4-1 (0-0)
2013-11-30	Texas A&M-International	H	Non-D1	W	75-56	5-1 (0-0)
2013-12-04	St. Edward's	H	Non-D1	W	77-67	6-1 (0-0)
2013-12-14	McMurry	H	Non-D1	W	83-56	7-1 (0-0)
2013-12-16	Open Bible	H	Non-D1	W	96-60	8-1 (0-0)
2013-12-17	Open Bible	H	Non-D1	W	98-53	9-1 (0-0)
2013-12-30	Huston-Tillotson	H	Non-D1	W	102-73	10-1 (0-0)
2014-01-04	Our Lady of the Lake	H	Non-D1	W	100-85	11-1 (0-0)
2014-01-09	SE Louisiana	A	Conference	L	72-76	11-2 (0-1)
2014-01-11	New Orleans	A	Conference	W	78-55	12-2 (1-1)
2014-01-16	Cent Arkansas	H	Conference	W	87-72	13-2 (2-1)
2014-01-18	Oral Roberts	H	Conference	L	77-79	13-3 (2-2)
2014-01-23	Sam Houston	H	Conference	W	85-74	14-3 (3-2)
2014-01-25	Lamar	H	Conference	W	75-64	15-3 (4-2)
2014-01-30	Northwestern St	A	Conference	L	86-100	15-4 (4-3)
2014-02-01	SF Austin	A	Conference	L	74-76	15-5 (4-4)
2014-02-06	Texas A&M-CC	H	Conference	W	82-78	16-5 (5-4)
2014-02-08	Houston Baptist	H	Conference	W	89-82	17-5 (6-4)
2014-02-13	Abil Christian	H	Conference	W	80-68	18-5 (7-4)
2014-02-27	McNeese	A	Conference	L	72-87	18-6 (7-5)
2014-03-01	Nicholls	A	Conference	W	69-67	19-6 (8-5)
2014-03-08	Abil Christian	A	Conference	W	59-56	20-6 (9-5)
2014-11-14	Texas-Tyler	H	Non-D1	W	89-49	1-0 (0-0)
2014-11-18	Huston-Tillotson	H	Non-D1	W	94-63	2-0 (0-0)
2014-11-22	Princeton	A	Non-Conference	W	79-68	3-0 (0-0)
2014-11-24	Texas A&M-International	H	Non-D1	W	105-83	4-0 (0-0)
2014-12-04	St. Edward's	H	Non-D1	W	85-68	5-0 (0-0)
2014-12-08	UTEP	A	Non-Conference	L	65-81	5-1 (0-0)
2014-12-10	Nebraska	A	Non-Conference	W	74-73	6-1 (0-0)
2014-12-17	Grand Canyon	A	Non-Conference	W	82-80	7-1 (0-0)
2014-12-20	UMKC	A	Non-Conference	W	110-104	8-1 (0-0)
2014-12-22	Tulsa	A	Non-Conference	L	47-76	8-2 (0-0)
2015-01-03	Sam Houston	A	Conference	L	78-84	8-3 (0-1)
2015-01-10	Northwestern St	A	Conference	L	101-103	8-4 (0-2)
2015-01-12	New Orleans	H	Conference	W	97-66	9-4 (1-2)
2015-01-17	SE Louisiana	H	Conference	L	98-108	9-5 (1-3)
2015-01-24	Abil Christian	A	Conference	W	77-61	10-5 (2-3)
2015-01-26	McNeese	H	Conference	W	86-84	11-5 (3-3)
2015-01-31	Nicholls	A	Conference	W	69-58	12-5 (4-3)
2015-02-03	Texas A&M-CC	A	Conference	L	70-71	12-6 (4-4)
2015-02-07	Lamar	H	Conference	W	78-72	13-6 (5-4)
2015-02-10	Nicholls	H	Conference	W	73-64	14-6 (6-4)
2015-02-13	Cent Arkansas	A	Conference	W	77-67	15-6 (7-4)
2015-02-16	SF Austin	H	Conference	L	76-90	15-7 (7-5)
2015-02-21	Texas A&M-CC	H	Conference	W	74-68	16-7 (8-5)
2015-02-23	Houston Baptist	H	Conference	W	77-64	17-7 (9-5)
2015-02-28	Lamar	A	Conference	L	66-79	17-8 (9-6)
2015-03-02	SF Austin	A	Conference	L	62-83	17-9 (9-7)
2015-03-05	Abil Christian	H	Conference	W	64-52	18-9 (10-7)
2015-03-07	Houston Baptist	A	Conference	L	77-78	18-10 (10-8)
2015-03-17	Louisiana	N	CIT - 1ST ROUND	L	68-83	18-11 (10-8)
2015-11-13	Texas Lutheran	H	Non-D1	W	86-65	1-0 (0-0)
2015-11-16	Schreiner	H	Non-D1	W	73-49	2-0 (0-0)
2015-11-18	Purdue	A	Non-Conference	L	61-96	2-1 (0-0)
2015-11-24	Oklahoma	A	Non-Conference	L	63-96	2-2 (0-0)
2015-12-03	Dallas Christian	H	Non-D1	W	108-71	3-2 (0-0)
2015-12-07	Sacramento St	A	Non-Conference	L	70-73	3-3 (0-0)
2015-12-09	Cal	A	Non-Conference	L	62-74	3-4 (0-0)
2015-12-15	Our Lady of the Lake	H	Non-D1	L	97-99	3-5 (0-0)
2015-12-18	St John's	A	Non-Conference	W	73-51	4-5 (0-0)
2015-12-22	LIU Brooklyn	A	Non-Conference	L	59-66	4-6 (0-0)
2015-12-29	Rice	A	Non-Conference	W	82-76	5-6 (0-0)
2016-01-02	Sam Houston	H	Conference	L	72-78	5-7 (0-1)
2016-01-09	Northwestern St	H	Conference	W	70-56	6-7 (1-1)
2016-01-11	New Orleans	A	Conference	W	71-68	7-7 (2-1)
2016-01-16	SE Louisiana	A	Conference	W	75-71	8-7 (3-1)
2016-01-23	Abil Christian	H	Conference	W	74-60	9-7 (4-1)
2016-01-25	McNeese	A	Conference	L	76-79	9-8 (4-2)
2016-01-30	Nicholls	H	Conference	W	68-61	10-8 (5-2)
2016-02-02	Texas A&M-CC	H	Conference	W	70-65	11-8 (6-2)
2016-02-06	Lamar	A	Conference	W	74-71	12-8 (7-2)
2016-02-08	Nicholls	A	Conference	L	60-71	12-9 (7-3)
2016-02-12	Cent Arkansas	H	Conference	W	71-69	13-9 (8-3)
2016-02-15	SF Austin	A	Conference	L	46-84	13-10 (8-4)
2016-02-20	Texas A&M-CC	A	Conference	L	69-90	13-11 (8-5)
2016-02-22	Houston Baptist	A	Conference	W	97-91	14-11 (9-5)
2016-02-27	Lamar	H	Conference	W	89-70	15-11 (10-5)
2016-02-29	SF Austin	H	Conference	L	58-84	15-12 (10-6)
2016-03-03	Abil Christian	A	Conference	W	74-70	16-12 (11-6)
2016-03-05	Houston Baptist	H	Conference	W	97-86	17-12 (12-6)
2016-11-11	Texas	A	Non-Conference	L	73-78	0-1 (0-0)
2016-11-15	St. Edward's	H	Non-D1	W	93-90	1-1 (0-0)
2016-11-21	Howard Payne	H	Non-D1	W	91-61	2-1 (0-0)
2016-11-26	Rice	H	Non-Conference	L	79-87	2-2 (0-0)
2016-11-30	Texas Tech	A	Non-Conference	L	48-69	2-3 (0-0)
2016-12-03	LIU Brooklyn	H	Non-Conference	W	90-79	3-3 (0-0)
2016-12-07	Texas Lutheran	H	Non-D1	W	78-71	4-3 (0-0)
2016-12-10	Texas A&M-International	H	Non-D1	W	83-68	5-3 (0-0)
2016-12-14	UNLV	A	Non-Conference	L	64-92	5-4 (0-0)
2016-12-17	Loyola Mary	A	Non-Conference	L	90-91	5-5 (0-0)
2016-12-21	Memphis	A	Non-Conference	L	71-95	5-6 (0-0)
2016-12-31	Nicholls	A	Conference	L	84-94	5-7 (0-1)
2017-01-02	SE Louisiana	A	Conference	L	63-74	5-8 (0-2)
2017-01-05	Northwestern St	H	Conference	W	84-80	6-8 (1-2)
2017-01-07	New Orleans	H	Conference	L	72-87	6-9 (1-3)
2017-01-11	Lamar	A	Conference	L	72-87	6-10 (1-4)
2017-01-14	Houston Baptist	H	Conference	W	82-77	7-10 (2-4)
2017-01-21	SF Austin	H	Conference	W	70-68	8-10 (3-4)
2017-01-26	Abil Christian	H	Conference	W	82-79	9-10 (4-4)
2017-01-28	Cent Arkansas	A	Conference	W	81-80	10-10 (5-4)
2017-02-02	McNeese	H	Conference	L	79-87	10-11 (5-5)
2017-02-04	Houston Baptist	A	Conference	L	70-84	10-12 (5-6)
2017-02-09	SF Austin	A	Conference	L	79-87	10-13 (5-7)
2017-02-11	Sam Houston	A	Conference	L	63-72	10-14 (5-8)
2017-02-15	Texas A&M-CC	H	Conference	L	81-97	10-15 (5-9)
2017-02-18	Sam Houston	H	Conference	W	69-53	11-15 (6-9)
2017-02-23	Nicholls	H	Conference	L	68-77	11-16 (6-10)
2017-03-01	Abil Christian	A	Conference	W	89-75	12-16 (7-10)
2017-03-04	Texas A&M-CC	A	Conference	L	64-81	12-17 (7-11)
2017-11-10	Southwestern	H	Non-D1	W	87-71	1-0 (0-0)
2017-11-13	Trinity University (TX)	H	Non-D1	W	93-57	2-0 (0-0)
2017-11-17	McMurry	H	Non-D1	W	88-49	3-0 (0-0)
2017-11-22	Loyola Mary	H	Non-Conference	L	87-91	3-1 (0-0)
2017-11-25	Houston	A	Non-Conference	L	58-97	3-2 (0-0)
2017-11-29	Gonzaga	A	Non-Conference	L	68-103	3-3 (0-0)
2017-12-05	Texas Lutheran	H	Non-D1	W	91-63	4-3 (0-0)
2017-12-16	UMKC	H	Non-Conference	W	77-73	5-3 (0-0)
2017-12-19	UTEP	A	Non-Conference	L	66-72	5-4 (0-0)
2017-12-22	Florida	A	Non-Conference	L	60-75	5-5 (0-0)
2017-12-28	McNeese	A	Conference	L	62-85	5-6 (0-1)
2017-12-30	Nicholls	A	Conference	L	60-77	5-7 (0-2)
2018-01-06	Sam Houston	H	Conference	L	74-85	5-8 (0-3)
2018-01-10	Cent Arkansas	A	Conference	L	76-92	5-9 (0-4)
2018-01-13	SF Austin	A	Conference	L	63-83	5-10 (0-5)
2018-01-17	Lamar	H	Conference	L	69-90	5-11 (0-6)
2018-01-20	New Orleans	A	Conference	L	70-74	5-12 (0-7)
2018-01-24	Houston Baptist	A	Conference	L	86-102	5-13 (0-8)
2018-01-27	New Orleans	H	Conference	L	58-68	5-14 (0-9)
2018-02-03	Texas A&M-CC	H	Conference	L	51-56	5-15 (0-10)
2018-02-07	SE Louisiana	H	Conference	L	68-86	5-16 (0-11)
2018-02-10	Abil Christian	A	Conference	L	69-80	5-17 (0-12)
2018-02-14	Lamar	A	Conference	L	62-85	5-18 (0-13)
2018-02-17	SF Austin	H	Conference	L	70-81	5-19 (0-14)
2018-02-21	Northwestern St	H	Conference	L	54-66	5-20 (0-15)
2018-02-24	Texas A&M-CC	A	Conference	W	69-62	6-20 (1-15)
2018-02-28	Houston Baptist	H	Conference	W	83-71	7-20 (2-15)
2018-03-03	Abil Christian	H	Conference	L	59-69	7-21 (2-16)
2018-11-06	Texas Tech	A	Non-Conference	L	37-87	0-1 (0-0)
2018-11-09	St. Francis (ILL)	H	Non-D1	W	63-49	1-1 (0-0)
2018-11-10	Texas-Tyler	H	Non-D1	W	66-54	2-1 (0-0)
2018-11-12	Texas Lutheran	H	Non-D1	W	70-59	3-1 (0-0)
2018-11-16	Montana	N	Non-Conference	L	66-93	3-2 (0-0)
2018-11-17	North Dakota St	N	Non-Conference	W	80-78	4-2 (0-0)
2018-11-18	FAU	N	Non-Conference	L	68-71	4-3 (0-0)
2018-11-21	N Colorado	H	Non-Conference	L	64-90	4-4 (0-0)
2018-11-25	SIUE	A	Non-Conference	L	68-80	4-5 (0-0)
2018-12-04	Trinity University (TX)	H	Non-D1	W	82-57	5-5 (0-0)
2018-12-09	LSU	A	Non-Conference	L	50-91	5-6 (0-0)
2018-12-17	UIC	A	Non-Conference	L	57-63	5-7 (0-0)
2018-12-19	DePaul	A	Non-Conference	L	71-81	5-8 (0-0)
2019-01-02	McNeese	H	Conference	L	77-88	5-9 (0-1)
2019-01-05	Nicholls	H	Conference	W	65-58	6-9 (1-1)
2019-01-12	Sam Houston	A	Conference	L	52-66	6-10 (1-2)
2019-01-16	Cent Arkansas	H	Conference	L	60-77	6-11 (1-3)
2019-01-19	SF Austin	H	Conference	L	71-74	6-12 (1-4)
2019-01-23	Lamar	A	Conference	L	81-87	6-13 (1-5)
2019-01-26	New Orleans	H	Conference	L	52-61	6-14 (1-6)
2019-01-30	Houston Baptist	H	Conference	L	92-96	6-15 (1-7)
2019-02-02	New Orleans	A	Conference	L	72-89	6-16 (1-8)
2019-02-09	Texas A&M-CC	A	Conference	L	61-70	6-17 (1-9)
2019-02-13	SE Louisiana	A	Conference	L	64-70	6-18 (1-10)
2019-02-16	Abil Christian	H	Conference	L	48-68	6-19 (1-11)
2019-02-20	Lamar	H	Conference	L	58-76	6-20 (1-12)
2019-02-23	SF Austin	A	Conference	L	54-81	6-21 (1-13)
2019-02-27	Northwestern St	A	Conference	L	60-68	6-22 (1-14)
2019-03-02	Texas A&M-CC	H	Conference	L	72-74	6-23 (1-15)
2019-03-06	Houston Baptist	A	Conference	L	111-118	6-24 (1-16)
2019-03-09	Abil Christian	A	Conference	L	52-81	6-25 (1-17)
2019-11-06	Missouri	A	Non-Conference	L	42-82	0-1 (0-0)
2019-11-08	N Colorado	A	Non-Conference	L	61-83	0-2 (0-0)
2019-11-12	Texas Lutheran	H	Non-D1	W	86-60	1-2 (0-0)
2019-11-16	SIUE	H	Non-Conference	L	55-57	1-3 (0-0)
2019-11-22	Bethune-Cookman	H	Non-Conference	L	58-83	1-4 (0-0)
2019-11-23	St. Francis (ILL)	H	Non-D1	W	68-44	2-4 (0-0)
2019-11-24	E Illinois	H	Non-Conference	L	63-72	2-5 (0-0)
2019-12-01	Portland	A	Non-Conference	L	56-65	2-6 (0-0)
2019-12-03	Seattle	A	Non-Conference	L	60-81	2-7 (0-0)
2019-12-07	Trinity University (TX)	H	Non-D1	W	101-65	3-7 (0-0)
2019-12-18	Cent Arkansas	A	Conference	L	82-88	3-8 (0-1)
2019-12-21	Washington St	A	Non-Conference	L	59-87	3-9 (0-1)
2020-01-02	Nicholls	A	Conference	L	60-76	3-10 (0-2)
2020-01-08	Northwestern St	H	Conference	L	66-72	3-11 (0-3)
2020-01-11	New Orleans	H	Conference	W	73-70	4-11 (1-3)
2020-01-15	McNeese	A	Conference	L	56-72	4-12 (1-4)
2020-01-18	SF Austin	A	Conference	L	56-80	4-13 (1-5)
2020-01-22	Lamar	H	Conference	L	77-89	4-14 (1-6)
2020-01-25	Texas A&M-CC	H	Conference	L	47-68	4-15 (1-7)
2020-01-29	Houston Baptist	A	Conference	W	84-82	5-15 (2-7)
2020-02-01	Abil Christian	A	Conference	L	58-72	5-16 (2-8)
2020-02-05	Sam Houston	H	Conference	W	72-71	6-16 (3-8)
2020-02-08	SE Louisiana	H	Conference	W	82-75	7-16 (4-8)
2020-02-12	Northwestern St	A	Conference	L	60-70	7-17 (4-9)
2020-02-15	New Orleans	A	Conference	W	67-66	8-17 (5-9)
2020-02-19	McNeese	H	Conference	W	65-59	9-17 (6-9)
2020-02-22	SF Austin	H	Conference	L	56-80	9-18 (6-10)
2020-02-26	Lamar	A	Conference	L	66-86	9-19 (6-11)
2020-02-29	Texas A&M-CC	A	Conference	L	70-78	9-20 (6-12)
2020-03-04	Houston Baptist	H	Conference	L	76-88	9-21 (6-13)
2020-03-07	Abil Christian	H	Conference	L	68-71	9-22 (6-14)
2020-11-27	Rice	H	Non-Conference	L	53-68	0-1 (0-0)
2020-11-29	Our Lady of the Lake	H	Non-D1	W	84-71	1-1 (0-0)
2020-12-02	Wyoming	A	Non-Conference	L	83-94	1-2 (0-0)
2020-12-05	Texas State	A	Non-Conference	L	64-72	1-3 (0-0)
2020-12-29	Texas Tech	A	Non-Conference	L	51-79	1-4 (0-0)
2020-12-31	McMurry	H	Non-D1	W	92-71	2-4 (0-0)
2021-01-01	McMurry	H	Non-D1	W	81-54	3-4 (0-0)
2021-01-06	Northwestern St	A	Conference	W	75-67	4-4 (1-0)
2021-01-09	New Orleans	A	Conference	L	64-86	4-5 (1-1)
2021-01-13	McNeese	H	Conference	W	83-61	5-5 (2-1)
2021-01-16	SF Austin	H	Conference	L	65-83	5-6 (2-2)
2021-01-23	Texas A&M-CC	H	Conference	W	72-53	6-6 (3-2)
2021-01-27	Houston Baptist	H	Conference	L	57-73	6-7 (3-3)
2021-01-30	Abil Christian	H	Conference	L	67-75	6-8 (3-4)
2021-02-03	Lamar	A	Conference	W	67-58	7-8 (4-4)
2021-02-06	Texas A&M-CC	A	Conference	W	58-53	8-8 (5-4)
2021-02-10	Northwestern St	H	Conference	L	67-68	8-9 (5-5)
2021-02-24	Lamar	H	Conference	L	45-67	8-10 (5-6)
2021-03-01	New Orleans	H	Conference	L	72-88	8-11 (5-7)
2021-03-03	Houston Baptist	A	Conference	L	67-72	8-12 (5-8)
2021-03-06	Abil Christian	A	Conference	L	60-85	8-13 (5-9)
2021-03-09	Houston Baptist	N	Conference Tournament	L	68-80	8-14 (5-9)
2021-11-09	Texas State	H	Non-Conference	L	57-75	0-1 (0-0)
2021-11-12	Baylor	A	Non-Conference	L	60-87	0-2 (0-0)
2021-11-16	Concordia Texas	H	Non-D1	L	78-82	0-3 (0-0)
2021-11-20	Texas Tech	N	Non-Conference	L	62-84	0-4 (0-0)
2021-11-26	SE Missouri St	H	Non-Conference	L	76-79	0-5 (0-0)
2021-11-27	Montana State	H	Non-Conference	L	64-83	0-6 (0-0)
2021-11-28	Portland	H	Non-Conference	L	68-77	0-7 (0-0)
2021-12-01	Our Lady of the Lake	H	Non-D1	W	93-66	1-7 (0-0)
2021-12-04	Abil Christian	A	Non-Conference	L	65-98	1-8 (0-0)
2021-12-11	Grambling	H	Non-Conference	W	72-62	2-8 (0-0)
2021-12-16	Rice	A	Non-Conference	L	55-85	2-9 (0-0)
2021-12-20	Purdue	A	Non-Conference	L	59-79	2-10 (0-0)
2021-12-28	Texas	A	Non-Conference	L	33-78	2-11 (0-0)
2022-01-02	Dallas Christian	H	Non-D1	W	90-45	3-11 (0-0)
2022-01-06	Nicholls	N	Conference	L	56-87	3-12 (0-1)
2022-01-07	Northwestern St	N	Conference	L	80-83	3-13 (0-2)
2022-01-08	Houston Baptist	N	Conference	W	60-50	4-13 (1-2)
2022-01-15	Texas A&M-CC	A	Conference	L	64-80	4-14 (1-3)
2022-01-20	Houston Baptist	H	Conference	L	65-68	4-15 (1-4)
2022-01-22	McNeese	H	Conference	L	72-82	4-16 (1-5)
2022-01-27	Northwestern St	A	Conference	L	70-79	4-17 (1-6)
2022-01-29	SE Louisiana	A	Conference	L	68-78	4-18 (1-7)
2022-02-03	Nicholls	H	Conference	L	60-63	4-19 (1-8)
2022-02-05	New Orleans	H	Conference	W	78-70	5-19 (2-8)
2022-02-10	Nicholls	A	Conference	L	58-69	5-20 (2-9)
2022-02-12	New Orleans	A	Conference	L	57-84	5-21 (2-10)
2022-02-17	Northwestern St	H	Conference	L	64-88	5-22 (2-11)
2022-02-19	SE Louisiana	H	Conference	W	92-84	6-22 (3-11)
2022-02-24	Houston Baptist	A	Conference	L	68-82	6-23 (3-12)
2022-02-26	McNeese	A	Conference	W	69-67	7-23 (4-12)
2022-03-05	Texas A&M-CC	H	Conference	L	68-77	7-24 (4-13)
2022-03-09	Houston Baptist	N	Conference Tournament	L	64-74	7-25 (4-13)
2022-11-07	North Dakota	H	Non-Conference	L	57-65	0-1 (0-0)
2022-11-12	UNLV	A	Non-Conference	L	63-88	0-2 (0-0)
2022-11-15	Texas Lutheran	H	Non-D1	W	84-47	1-2 (0-0)
2022-11-19	Valparaiso	A	Non-Conference	L	64-68	1-3 (0-0)
2022-11-22	Our Lady Of The Lake	H	Non-D1	W	85-76	2-3 (0-0)
2022-11-25	Dartmouth	N	Non-Conference	W	69-64	3-3 (0-0)
2022-11-27	Grambling	N	Non-Conference	W	63-61	4-3 (0-0)
2022-11-28	UTSA	A	Non-Conference	L	62-68	4-4 (0-0)
2022-11-30	Dallas Christian	H	Non-D1	W	112-64	5-4 (0-0)
2022-12-03	Grambling	A	Non-Conference	L	39-72	5-5 (0-0)
2022-12-11	Kansas State	A	Non-Conference	L	50-98	5-6 (0-0)
2022-12-16	Bethune-Cookman	H	Non-Conference	W	77-65	6-6 (0-0)
2022-12-21	FIU	A	Non-Conference	L	74-79	6-7 (0-0)
2022-12-31	Texas A&M-Commerce	A	Conference	L	74-82	6-8 (0-1)
2023-01-04	Texas A&M-CC	A	Conference	L	61-91	6-9 (0-2)
2023-01-07	Texas A&M-CC	H	Conference	L	71-80	6-10 (0-3)
2023-01-12	New Orleans	H	Conference	L	79-85	6-11 (0-4)
2023-01-14	SE Louisiana	H	Conference	L	71-75	6-12 (0-5)
2023-01-19	Houston Baptist	A	Conference	W	89-78	7-12 (1-5)
2023-01-21	Lamar	A	Conference	W	70-64	8-12 (2-5)
2023-01-26	McNeese	H	Conference	W	70-65	9-12 (3-5)
2023-01-28	Nicholls	H	Conference	W	69-67	10-12 (4-5)
2023-02-02	SE Louisiana	A	Conference	L	67-77	10-13 (4-6)
2023-02-04	New Orleans	A	Conference	W	78-70	11-13 (5-6)
2023-02-09	Lamar	H	Conference	L	59-68	11-14 (5-7)
2023-02-11	Houston Baptist	H	Conference	L	78-84	11-15 (5-8)
2023-02-16	McNeese	A	Conference	L	76-78	11-16 (5-9)
2023-02-18	Nicholls	A	Conference	L	74-84	11-17 (5-10)
2023-02-23	Northwestern St	H	Conference	L	66-71	11-18 (5-11)
2023-02-25	Texas A&M-Commerce	H	Conference	W	79-75	12-18 (6-11)
2023-03-01	Northwestern St	A	Conference	L	64-81	12-19 (6-12)
2023-11-06	Texas	A	Non-Conference	L	56-88	0-1 (0-0)
2023-11-11	Tulsa	A	Non-Conference	L	71-85	0-2 (0-0)
2023-11-14	Schreiner	H	Non-D1	W	104-63	1-2 (0-0)
2023-11-18	AR-Pine Bluff	A	Non-Conference	W	100-81	2-2 (0-0)
2023-11-22	Jacksonville St	H	Non-Conference	W	67-66	3-2 (0-0)
2023-11-25	UTSA	A	Non-Conference	L	80-90	3-3 (0-0)
2023-11-26	Jacksonville St	N	Non-Conference	L	65-67	3-4 (0-0)
2023-12-01	Bethune-Cookman	A	Non-Conference	L	82-96	3-5 (0-0)
2023-12-09	N Arizona	H	Non-Conference	L	75-76	3-6 (0-0)
2023-12-13	Rice	A	Non-Conference	L	57-80	3-7 (0-0)
2023-12-21	UIC	A	Non-Conference	W	67-66	4-7 (0-0)
2023-12-30	UT Rio Grande	A	Non-Conference	L	74-77	4-8 (0-0)
2024-01-02	Our Lady Of The Lake	H	Non-D1	W	83-74	5-8 (0-0)
2024-01-06	Texas A&M-CC	H	Conference	L	65-75	5-9 (0-1)
2024-01-08	Lamar	A	Conference	L	59-75	5-10 (0-2)
2024-01-13	Northwestern St	A	Conference	L	71-97	5-11 (0-3)
2024-01-20	McNeese	H	Conference	L	66-80	5-12 (0-4)
2024-01-22	Nicholls	H	Conference	L	74-78	5-13 (0-5)
2024-01-27	Houston Baptist	H	Conference	W	79-75	6-13 (1-5)
2024-01-31	Texas A&M-Commerce	A	Conference	L	66-71	6-14 (1-6)
2024-02-03	New Orleans	A	Conference	W	82-80	7-14 (2-6)
2024-02-05	SE Louisiana	A	Conference	L	64-76	7-15 (2-7)
2024-02-10	Houston Baptist	A	Conference	L	83-86	7-16 (2-8)
2024-02-12	Lamar	H	Conference	W	76-67	8-16 (3-8)
2024-02-17	Northwestern St	H	Conference	L	61-81	8-17 (3-9)
2024-02-19	Texas A&M-Commerce	H	Conference	L	72-76	8-18 (3-10)
2024-02-24	McNeese	A	Conference	L	71-87	8-19 (3-11)
2024-02-26	Nicholls	A	Conference	L	82-92	8-20 (3-12)
2024-03-02	New Orleans	H	Conference	L	80-87	8-21 (3-13)
2024-03-04	SE Louisiana	H	Conference	L	56-73	8-22 (3-14)
2024-03-06	Texas A&M-CC	A	Conference	L	52-71	8-23 (3-15)
2024-11-04	California Baptist	A	Non-Conference	L	78-83	0-1 (0-0)
2024-11-08	Southwestern (TX)	H	Non-D1	W	97-53	1-1 (0-0)
2024-11-12	PV A&M	H	Non-Conference	W	84-81	2-1 (0-0)
2024-11-16	AR-Pine Bluff	H	Non-Conference	W	92-64	3-1 (0-0)
2024-11-22	N Arizona	A	Non-Conference	L	74-75	3-2 (0-0)
2024-11-25	South Alabama	A	Non-Conference	L	63-84	3-3 (0-0)
2024-11-27	W Illinois	N	Non-Conference	W	86-75	4-3 (0-0)
2024-12-05	Northwestern St	H	Conference	L	70-72	4-4 (0-1)
2024-12-07	Texas A&M-Commerce	H	Conference	W	65-53	5-4 (1-1)
2024-12-10	Duke	A	Non-Conference	L	46-72	5-5 (1-1)
2024-12-15	Our Lady Of The Lake	H	Non-D1	W	93-69	6-5 (1-1)
2024-12-19	Schreiner	H	Non-D1	W	101-57	7-5 (1-1)
2024-12-29	Texas Lutheran	H	Non-D1	W	99-48	8-5 (1-1)
2025-01-04	SF Austin	A	Conference	W	55-49	9-5 (2-1)
2025-01-06	Lamar	A	Conference	L	58-72	9-6 (2-2)
2025-01-11	Houston Baptist	A	Conference	L	76-81	9-7 (2-3)
2025-01-13	Nicholls	H	Conference	L	82-88	9-8 (2-4)
2025-01-18	Texas A&M-CC	H	Conference	L	63-69	9-9 (2-5)
2025-01-20	UT Rio Grande	H	Conference	L	78-85	9-10 (2-6)
2025-01-25	SE Louisiana	A	Conference	L	63-86	9-11 (2-7)
2025-01-27	New Orleans	A	Conference	W	74-58	10-11 (3-7)
2025-02-01	Houston Baptist	H	Conference	W	74-64	11-11 (4-7)
2025-02-03	McNeese	A	Conference	L	65-67	11-12 (4-8)
2025-02-08	SE Louisiana	H	Conference	L	66-71	11-13 (4-9)
2025-02-10	New Orleans	H	Conference	W	75-65	12-13 (5-9)
2025-02-15	Texas A&M-CC	A	Conference	L	55-69	12-14 (5-10)
2025-02-17	UT Rio Grande	A	Conference	W	66-60	13-14 (6-10)
2025-02-22	SF Austin	H	Conference	W	63-61	14-14 (7-10)
2025-02-24	Lamar	H	Conference	W	73-61	15-14 (8-10)
2025-03-01	Texas A&M-Commerce	A	Conference	W	75-68	16-14 (9-10)
2025-03-03	Northwestern St	A	Conference	L	57-73	16-15 (9-11)
2025-03-09	SE Louisiana	N	Conference Tournament	W	71-67	17-15 (9-11)
2025-03-10	Nicholls	N	Conference Tournament	L	70-74	17-16 (9-11)
2025-03-23	Manhattan	N	Purple CBI - 1st Round	W	92-85	18-16 (9-11)
2025-03-24	Jacksonville	N	Purple CBI - Quarterfinal	W	87-71	19-16 (9-11)
2025-03-25	Illinois State	N	Purple CBI - Semifinal	L	73-78	19-17 (9-11)
2025-11-03	Colorado State	A	Non-Conference	L	64-98	0-1 (0-0)
2025-11-07	Jarvis Christian	H	Non-D1	W	104-60	1-1 (0-0)
2025-11-11	Southwestern Christian	H	Non-D1	W	109-70	2-1 (0-0)
2025-11-16	Indiana	A	Non-Conference	L	61-69	2-2 (0-0)
2025-11-20	Southern Indiana	N	Non-Conference	W	87-81	3-2 (0-0)
2025-11-22	High Point	N	Non-Conference	L	80-91	3-3 (0-0)
2025-11-26	Texas Lutheran	H	Non-D1	W	117-55	4-3 (0-0)
2025-12-01	McNeese	H	Conference	W	71-67	5-3 (1-0)
2025-12-06	Nicholls	A	Conference	L	67-74	5-4 (1-1)
2025-12-08	New Orleans	A	Conference	L	83-84	5-5 (1-2)
2025-12-15	TCU	A	Non-Conference	L	65-69	5-6 (1-2)
2025-12-21	N Arizona	H	Non-Conference	W	90-66	6-6 (1-2)
2025-12-30	SE Louisiana	H	Conference	W	79-70	7-6 (2-2)
2026-01-03	Houston Baptist	H	Conference	W	73-56	8-6 (3-2)
2026-01-05	UT Rio Grande	A	Conference	L	67-80	8-7 (3-3)
2026-01-10	Lamar	A	Conference	L	51-63	8-8 (3-4)
2026-01-12	SF Austin	A	Conference	L	46-56	8-9 (3-5)
2026-01-17	Northwestern St	H	Conference	W	76-74	9-9 (4-5)
2026-01-19	Texas A&M-Commerce	H	Conference	L	58-80	9-10 (4-6)
2026-01-24	Texas A&M-CC	H	Conference	L	71-79	9-11 (4-7)
2026-01-27	Houston Baptist	A	Conference	L	75-81	9-12 (4-8)
2026-01-31	UT Rio Grande	H	Conference	L	93-106	9-13 (4-9)
2026-02-02	Texas A&M-Corpus Christi	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-07	McNeese	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-09	SE Louisiana	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-14	Nicholls	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-16	New Orleans	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-21	East Texas A&M	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-23	Northwestern State	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-28	Lamar	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-03-02	Stephen F. Austin	H	Conference	-	-	-

Incarnate Word Offense

Metric	Incarnate Word	Opponent	Metric

Incarnate Word Defense

Metric	Incarnate Word	Opponent	Metric

Model Predictions

Model	Incarnate Word	Opponent	Predicted Score	Spread	Result	MAE

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Offense: Vitals

Shooting

2025-26 Season Mean: 0.496
Rank: 8 of 12 in SLC, 256 of 365 in D1
Trend: Weakly Down, Weakening
Trend Rank: 7 of 12 in SLC, 194 of 365 in D1

256th

Turnovers

2025-26 Season Mean: 0.155
Rank: 3 of 12 in SLC, 152 of 365 in D1
Trend: Strongly Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 11 of 12 in SLC, 361 of 365 in D1

152nd

Off Reb Pct

2025-26 Season Mean: 30.520
Rank: 5 of 12 in SLC, 121 of 365 in D1
Trend: Moderately Down, Weakening
Trend Rank: 9 of 12 in SLC, 245 of 365 in D1

121st

FT Rate

2025-26 Season Mean: 0.341
Rank: 8 of 12 in SLC, 236 of 365 in D1
Trend: Weakly Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 7 of 12 in SLC, 188 of 365 in D1

236th

Defense: Vitals

Opp Shooting

2025-26 Season Mean: 0.547
Rank: 9 of 12 in SLC, 303 of 365 in D1
Trend: Strongly Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 12 of 12 in SLC, 340 of 365 in D1

303rd

Opp Turnovers

2025-26 Season Mean: 0.151
Rank: 11 of 12 in SLC, 223 of 365 in D1
Trend: Moderately Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 10 of 12 in SLC, 261 of 365 in D1

223rd

Def Reb Pct

2025-26 Season Mean: 69.560
Rank: 7 of 12 in SLC, 268 of 365 in D1
Trend: Weakly Down, Weakening
Trend Rank: 6 of 12 in SLC, 208 of 365 in D1

268th

Opp FT Rate

2025-26 Season Mean: 0.457
Rank: 11 of 12 in SLC, 341 of 365 in D1
Trend: Strongly Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 10 of 12 in SLC, 315 of 365 in D1

341st

Note: These are Dean Oliver's Four Factors of Basketball Success. It's fairly intuitive: When a team has the ball, they can do one of 4 things: (1) Get a bucket, (2) Turn the ball over, (3) Shoot the ball, miss, then rebound to retain possession, or (4) Get fouled and either retain possession or head to the line. These four factors are measured by (1) Effective Field Goal percentage (EFG) = (FGM + 0.5*3FGM)/FGA, (2) Turnover Pct = # TOs/Possessions, (3) Offensive Rebounding % = OR/(OR+Opp DR), and (4) Free Throw Rate = FTA/FGA. The stats are repeated on the defensive side using the opponents' numbers.

Adj Off Eff

Season
Avg: 102.33

291st

FGM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 38.8%

120th

FGA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 86.9%

41st

FG Pct

Season
Avg: 44.7%

218th

2Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 61.7%

156th

2PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 26.4%

179th

2PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 53.6%

100th

2Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 49.4%

293rd

3Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 38.3%

210th

3PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 12.4%

111th

3PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 33.3%

181st

3Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 36.0%

82nd

FT Rate

Season
Avg: 34.1%

236th

FTM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 19.8%

232nd

FTA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 28.2%

215th

FT Pct

Season
Avg: 70.0%

249th

Assists per FGM

Season
Avg: 44.2%

343rd

Balls Stolen Per Poss

Season
Avg: 7.9%

77th

Balls Blocked Per FGA

Season
Avg: 3.9%

95th

Fouls Drawn Per Poss

Season
Avg: 21.2%

309th

Turnovers

Season
Avg: 15.5%

152nd

Off Reb Pct

Season
Avg: 30.5%

121st

Off Tempo

Season
Avg: 68.56

263rd

Points per Poss

Season
Avg: 1.10

137th

Shooting

Season
Avg: 0.50

256th

Adj Def Eff

Season
Avg: 124.46

348th

Opp FGM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 39.2%

292nd

Opp FGA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 80.8%

86th

Opp FG Pct (%)

Season
Avg: 48.7%

339th

Opp 2Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 64.9%

319th

Opp 2PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 29.6%

340th

Opp 2PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 52.3%

269th

Opp 2Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 57.1%

329th

Opp 3Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 35.1%

47th

Opp 3PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 9.6%

55th

Opp 3PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 28.5%

43rd

Opp 3Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 33.8%

179th

Opp FT Rate

Season
Avg: 45.7%

341st

Opp FTM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 26.2%

346th

Opp FTA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 35.7%

346th

Opp FT Pct

Season
Avg: 73.0%

227th

Opp Assists per FGM

Season
Avg: 51.9%

173rd

Steals Per Poss

Season
Avg: 8.1%

276th

Blocks Per FGA

Season
Avg: 4.5%

199th

Fouls Per Poss

Season
Avg: 28.9%

342nd

Opp Turnovers

Season
Avg: 15.1%

223rd

Def Reb Pct

Season
Avg: 69.6%

268th

Opp Off Tempo

Season
Avg: 66.85

326th

Opp Points per Poss

Season
Avg: 1.14

319th

Opp Shooting

Season
Avg: 0.55

303rd