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California Baptist

Model	Score	Rank
Adj EM	14.17	104
Elo	1506.85	174
RPI	0.75	1

Updated through 2025-11-05

Efficiency Margin Rank Trend

Elo Rank Trend

RPI Rank Trend

About the models: The Adj EM model (Adjusted Efficiency Margin) is the difference between the Adjusted Offensive Efficiency and Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Essentially, it is a PPP (points per possession) differential adjusted for the quality of competition. The data points that are plotted are the calculated efficiency margins on each particular date. In practice, the adjusted offensive and defensive efficiencies for each game change with each new game result. So, the effect of any particular game result becomes less important as the season unfolds. This is evident in the plot as there are fairly large efficiency fluctations at the beginning of each new season. The effect is similar with the RPI: the scores and ranks become more stable as the season progresses.

The Elo model does not reset each year and so does not suffer from the same sort of early season data deficiency issues as season efficiency margins and RPI. The downside of this is that the model tends to lag the Adj EM and RPI models which quickly reflect changes in coaching or team personnel. The Elo model is used extensively at fivethirtyeight for their NFL and NBA predictive models. This Elo model has the following parameters: Starting Elo=1500, K=20, Home Court Advantage = 100; At the beginning of each new season, starting Elo is 0.75 previous season Elo + 0.25 Mean Elo (1505).

Date	Opponent	Site	Type	Result	Score	Record (Conf)
2025-11-07	UC Irvine	A	Non-Conference	-	-	-
2025-11-14	Western Illinois	H	Non-Conference	-	-	-
2025-11-18	UC Riverside	H	Non-Conference	-	-	-
2025-11-21	Grambling	H	Non-Conference	-	-	-
2025-11-25	San Diego	N	Non-Conference	-	-	-
2025-11-29	Oregon State	A	Non-Conference	-	-	-
2025-12-01	Colorado	A	Non-Conference	-	-	-
2025-12-03	BYU	A	Non-Conference	-	-	-
2025-12-06	Utah	A	Non-Conference	-	-	-
2025-12-12	Eastern Washington	A	Non-Conference	-	-	-
2025-12-16	Southern	H	Non-Conference	-	-	-
2025-12-20	Sacramento State	H	Non-Conference	-	-	-
2025-12-29	Utah Valley	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-01	UT Arlington	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-03	Tarleton State	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-08	Utah Tech	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-10	Southern Utah	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-15	Abilene Christian	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-21	Utah Tech	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-24	Utah Valley	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-31	UT Arlington	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-05	Tarleton State	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-07	Abilene Christian	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-12	Southern Utah	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-14	Utah Tech	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-19	Utah Valley	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-26	UT Arlington	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-28	Tarleton State	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-03-05	Abilene Christian	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-03-07	Southern Utah	A	Conference	-	-	-

Date	Opponent	Site	Type	Result	Score	Record
2003-12-06	Cleveland State	A	Non-Conference	-	-	-
2018-11-09	San Diego Christian	H	Non-D1	W	87-71	1-0 (0-0)
2018-11-13	Oral Roberts	A	Non-Conference	W	70-69	2-0 (0-0)
2018-11-16	Tulsa	A	Non-Conference	L	79-82	2-1 (0-0)
2018-11-19	Nevada	A	Non-Conference	L	55-90	2-2 (0-0)
2018-11-23	AR-Pine Bluff	N	Non-Conference	L	107-115	2-3 (0-0)
2018-11-24	Howard	N	Non-Conference	L	84-86	2-4 (0-0)
2018-11-29	UC Riverside	A	Non-Conference	W	80-70	3-4 (0-0)
2018-12-01	Miss Valley St	H	Non-Conference	W	107-71	4-4 (0-0)
2018-12-05	UC Irvine	H	Non-Conference	L	66-69	4-5 (0-0)
2018-12-08	Cal Tech	H	Non-D1	W	87-48	5-5 (0-0)
2018-12-17	SE Louisiana	A	Non-Conference	W	73-52	6-5 (0-0)
2018-12-19	Southern	A	Non-Conference	W	79-76	7-5 (0-0)
2018-12-29	La Verne	H	Non-D1	W	97-46	8-5 (0-0)
2019-01-03	New Mexico St	H	Conference	W	82-76	9-5 (1-0)
2019-01-05	UT Rio Grande	H	Conference	L	74-81	9-6 (1-1)
2019-01-10	UMKC	A	Conference	L	68-84	9-7 (1-2)
2019-01-12	Chicago State	A	Conference	W	77-75	10-7 (2-2)
2019-01-24	CSU Bakersfield	H	Conference	L	84-88	10-8 (2-3)
2019-01-26	Grand Canyon	H	Conference	L	73-90	10-9 (2-4)
2019-01-30	Utah Valley	A	Conference	L	62-79	10-10 (2-5)
2019-02-02	Seattle	A	Conference	W	75-64	11-10 (3-5)
2019-02-07	Chicago State	H	Conference	W	94-44	12-10 (4-5)
2019-02-09	UMKC	H	Conference	W	70-60	13-10 (5-5)
2019-02-12	Bethesda	H	Non-D1	W	115-65	14-10 (5-5)
2019-02-21	Grand Canyon	A	Conference	L	58-91	14-11 (5-6)
2019-02-23	CSU Bakersfield	A	Conference	W	72-58	15-11 (6-6)
2019-02-28	Seattle	H	Conference	L	65-67	15-12 (6-7)
2019-03-02	Utah Valley	H	Conference	L	63-64	15-13 (6-8)
2019-03-07	UT Rio Grande	A	Conference	W	82-79	16-13 (7-8)
2019-03-09	New Mexico St	A	Conference	L	63-75	16-14 (7-9)
2019-03-20	Loyola Mary	N	ROMAN CBI TOURNAMENT - 1ST ROUND	L	55-56	16-15 (7-9)
2019-11-05	Jackson State	H	Non-Conference	W	93-70	1-0 (0-0)
2019-11-08	Cal Lutheran	H	Non-D1	W	112-56	2-0 (0-0)
2019-11-12	Texas	A	Non-Conference	L	54-67	2-1 (0-0)
2019-11-15	Cal	A	Non-Conference	L	62-82	2-2 (0-0)
2019-11-22	Cent Arkansas	H	Non-Conference	W	104-98	3-2 (0-0)
2019-11-23	Georgia State	H	Non-Conference	L	60-69	3-3 (0-0)
2019-11-27	South Dakota	H	Non-Conference	L	83-84	3-4 (0-0)
2019-12-04	UC Riverside	H	Non-Conference	W	79-67	4-4 (0-0)
2019-12-07	UC Irvine	A	Non-Conference	W	68-60	5-4 (0-0)
2019-12-14	Bethune-Cookman	H	Non-Conference	W	87-68	6-4 (0-0)
2019-12-18	Southern	H	Non-Conference	W	78-61	7-4 (0-0)
2019-12-22	Miss Valley St	H	Non-Conference	W	103-66	8-4 (0-0)
2019-12-28	Ottawa University Arizona	H	Non-D1	W	92-75	9-4 (0-0)
2020-01-02	UT Rio Grande	H	Conference	W	76-67	10-4 (1-0)
2020-01-04	New Mexico St	H	Conference	L	71-86	10-5 (1-1)
2020-01-08	CSU Bakersfield	A	Conference	W	83-75	11-5 (2-1)
2020-01-11	Grand Canyon	A	Conference	W	61-57	12-5 (3-1)
2020-01-17	Bethesda	H	Non-D1	W	96-62	13-5 (3-1)
2020-01-22	Chicago State	H	Conference	W	85-53	14-5 (4-1)
2020-01-25	UMKC	H	Conference	L	57-67	14-6 (4-2)
2020-01-29	Utah Valley	A	Conference	W	65-61	15-6 (5-2)
2020-02-01	Seattle	A	Conference	W	72-65	16-6 (6-2)
2020-02-08	Grand Canyon	H	Conference	L	98-103	16-7 (6-3)
2020-02-13	Westcliff	H	Non-D1	W	107-45	17-7 (6-3)
2020-02-19	UMKC	A	Conference	L	63-69	17-8 (6-4)
2020-02-22	Chicago State	A	Conference	W	95-53	18-8 (7-4)
2020-02-26	Utah Valley	H	Conference	W	73-66	19-8 (8-4)
2020-02-29	Seattle	H	Conference	W	88-87	20-8 (9-4)
2020-03-05	New Mexico St	A	Conference	L	50-83	20-9 (9-5)
2020-03-07	UT Rio Grande	A	Conference	L	76-79	20-10 (9-6)
2020-11-25	USC	A	Non-Conference	L	87-95	0-1 (0-0)
2020-12-02	SE Louisiana	H	Non-Conference	L	80-81	0-2 (0-0)
2020-12-04	SE Louisiana	H	Non-Conference	W	83-66	1-2 (0-0)
2020-12-10	St. Katherine	H	Non-D1	W	93-47	2-2 (0-0)
2020-12-12	Fresno Pacific	H	Non-D1	W	110-71	3-2 (0-0)
2021-01-08	Utah Valley	A	Conference	L	50-77	3-3 (0-1)
2021-01-09	Utah Valley	A	Conference	L	77-81	3-4 (0-2)
2021-01-15	Tarleton	H	Conference	W	83-74	4-4 (1-2)
2021-01-16	Tarleton	H	Conference	W	73-67	5-4 (2-2)
2021-01-20	San Diego Christian	H	Non-D1	W	89-37	6-4 (2-2)
2021-01-23	Long Beach St	H	Non-Conference	W	96-75	7-4 (2-2)
2021-01-29	Dixie State	H	Conference	W	89-74	8-4 (3-2)
2021-01-30	Dixie State	H	Conference	L	75-79	8-5 (3-3)
2021-02-05	New Mexico St	A	Conference	W	85-75	9-5 (4-3)
2021-02-06	New Mexico St	A	Conference	L	70-97	9-6 (4-4)
2021-02-13	Sacramento St	H	Non-Conference	W	83-71	10-6 (4-4)
2021-02-14	Sacramento St	H	Non-Conference	L	69-70	10-7 (4-4)
2021-02-19	Grand Canyon	A	Conference	L	61-71	10-8 (4-5)
2021-02-20	Grand Canyon	A	Conference	W	65-62	11-8 (5-5)
2021-03-05	Seattle	H	Conference	L	79-80	11-9 (5-6)
2021-03-06	Seattle	H	Conference	W	79-76	12-9 (6-6)
2021-03-11	Seattle	N	Conference Tournament	L	66-83	12-10 (6-6)
2021-11-09	San Francisco State	H	Non-D1	W	87-65	1-0 (0-0)
2021-11-13	Miss Valley St	H	Non-Conference	W	95-66	2-0 (0-0)
2021-11-16	Jackson State	H	Non-Conference	W	77-64	3-0 (0-0)
2021-11-18	San Jose State	H	Non-Conference	W	67-66	4-0 (0-0)
2021-11-21	N Colorado	H	Non-Conference	W	74-70	5-0 (0-0)
2021-11-24	Texas	A	Non-Conference	L	44-68	5-1 (0-0)
2021-11-27	San Diego Christian	H	Non-D1	W	85-38	6-1 (0-0)
2021-12-02	Cal Poly	H	Non-Conference	W	64-55	7-1 (0-0)
2021-12-07	North Dakota	H	Non-Conference	W	89-71	8-1 (0-0)
2021-12-12	UC Riverside	A	Non-Conference	L	54-70	8-2 (0-0)
2021-12-18	Arizona	A	Non-Conference	L	60-84	8-3 (0-0)
2021-12-21	SE Missouri St	H	Non-Conference	W	84-68	9-3 (0-0)
2021-12-28	La Verne	H	Non-D1	W	96-41	10-3 (0-0)
2022-01-08	Chicago State	A	Conference	L	56-58	10-4 (0-1)
2022-01-12	Dixie State	H	Conference	L	76-79	10-5 (0-2)
2022-01-15	Utah Valley	H	Conference	W	75-73	11-5 (1-2)
2022-01-17	Seattle	H	Conference	L	85-92	11-6 (1-3)
2022-01-20	Tarleton	A	Conference	W	88-84	12-6 (2-3)
2022-01-22	Abil Christian	A	Conference	L	68-77	12-7 (2-4)
2022-01-26	Sam Houston	H	Conference	L	68-73	12-8 (2-5)
2022-01-29	SF Austin	H	Conference	L	77-81	12-9 (2-6)
2022-02-03	New Mexico St	A	Conference	L	57-68	12-10 (2-7)
2022-02-05	Grand Canyon	A	Conference	L	50-56	12-11 (2-8)
2022-02-10	Lamar	H	Conference	W	83-61	13-11 (3-8)
2022-02-12	UT Rio Grande	H	Conference	W	80-72	14-11 (4-8)
2022-02-16	Grand Canyon	H	Conference	L	60-65	14-12 (4-9)
2022-02-19	Seattle	A	Conference	L	64-67	14-13 (4-10)
2022-02-24	Dixie State	A	Conference	W	71-61	15-13 (5-10)
2022-02-26	Utah Valley	A	Conference	L	54-63	15-14 (5-11)
2022-03-02	Chicago State	H	Conference	W	62-53	16-14 (6-11)
2022-03-05	Lamar	A	Conference	W	78-66	17-14 (7-11)
2022-03-08	UT Rio Grande	N	Conference Tournament	W	81-80	18-14 (7-11)
2022-03-09	Sam Houston	N	Conference Tournament	L	35-65	18-15 (7-11)
2022-03-19	Mid Tennessee	N	ROMAN CBI TOURNAMENT - 1ST ROUND	L	58-64	18-16 (7-11)
2022-11-07	Long Beach St	H	Non-Conference	L	64-79	0-1 (0-0)
2022-11-11	NJIT	H	Non-Conference	W	59-43	1-1 (0-0)
2022-11-15	CSU Northridge	H	Non-Conference	W	62-55	2-1 (0-0)
2022-11-17	Washington	A	Non-Conference	W	73-64	3-1 (0-0)
2022-11-21	Minnesota	N	Non-Conference	L	61-62	3-2 (0-0)
2022-11-24	S Illinois	N	Non-Conference	L	61-64	3-3 (0-0)
2022-11-26	Cent Michigan	H	Non-Conference	W	77-61	4-3 (0-0)
2022-11-30	UC Riverside	H	Non-Conference	W	65-60	5-3 (0-0)
2022-12-03	Cal Poly	A	Non-Conference	L	53-64	5-4 (0-0)
2022-12-07	Weber State	H	Non-Conference	W	64-52	6-4 (0-0)
2022-12-10	San Diego	A	Non-Conference	W	76-73	7-4 (0-0)
2022-12-18	Sonoma State	H	Non-D1	W	88-67	8-4 (0-0)
2022-12-22	Portland State	H	Non-Conference	L	72-74	8-5 (0-0)
2022-12-29	Grand Canyon	A	Conference	L	59-73	8-6 (0-1)
2022-12-31	Seattle	A	Conference	L	65-71	8-7 (0-2)
2023-01-05	Utah Tech	H	Conference	W	72-58	9-7 (1-2)
2023-01-07	New Mexico St	A	Conference	W	70-61	10-7 (2-2)
2023-01-11	Utah Valley	H	Conference	L	67-71	10-8 (2-3)
2023-01-14	Grand Canyon	H	Conference	W	79-74	11-8 (3-3)
2023-01-21	Tarleton	H	Conference	W	77-48	12-8 (4-3)
2023-01-25	UT Arlington	A	Conference	W	74-66	13-8 (5-3)
2023-01-28	UT Rio Grande	A	Conference	L	58-64	13-9 (5-4)
2023-02-01	Southern Utah	H	Conference	L	71-72	13-10 (5-5)
2023-02-04	Abil Christian	H	Conference	L	71-87	13-11 (5-6)
2023-02-08	Utah Valley	A	Conference	L	55-71	13-12 (5-7)
2023-02-11	West Coast Baptist	H	Non-D1	W	132-46	14-12 (5-7)
2023-02-11	New Mexico State	H	Conference	-	-	-
2023-02-15	Seattle	H	Conference	W	84-63	15-12 (6-7)
2023-02-23	Sam Houston	A	Conference	L	45-56	15-13 (6-8)
2023-02-26	SF Austin	A	Conference	L	58-80	15-14 (6-9)
2023-03-01	UT Rio Grande	H	Conference	W	88-70	16-14 (7-9)
2023-03-03	Southern Utah	A	Conference	L	71-81	16-15 (7-10)
2023-03-07	Abil Christian	N	Conference Tournament	W	69-62	17-15 (7-10)
2023-03-09	Sam Houston	N	Conference Tournament	L	51-64	17-16 (7-10)
2023-11-06	San Francisco State	H	Non-D1	W	74-57	1-0 (0-0)
2023-11-10	Jackson State	H	Non-Conference	W	80-66	2-0 (0-0)
2023-11-17	Portland State	H	Non-Conference	L	63-66	2-1 (0-0)
2023-11-18	St. Thomas-Minnesota	H	Non-Conference	W	66-62	3-1 (0-0)
2023-11-19	Cal Poly	H	Non-Conference	W	67-58	4-1 (0-0)
2023-11-25	Vanguard	H	Non-D1	W	69-59	5-1 (0-0)
2023-11-29	Southern Utah	A	Conference	W	91-66	6-1 (1-0)
2023-12-06	Utah Tech	H	Conference	L	69-72	6-2 (1-1)
2023-12-12	Oregon	A	Non-Conference	L	55-76	6-3 (1-1)
2023-12-16	UC Riverside	A	Non-Conference	W	70-69	7-3 (1-1)
2023-12-19	W Kentucky	H	Non-Conference	L	70-73	7-4 (1-1)
2023-12-27	Chicago State	H	Non-Conference	W	74-62	8-4 (1-1)
2023-12-30	New Mexico St	A	Non-Conference	L	61-66	8-5 (1-1)
2024-01-04	Utah Valley	A	Conference	L	58-65	8-6 (1-2)
2024-01-06	Seattle	A	Conference	L	46-48	8-7 (1-3)
2024-01-11	Tarleton	H	Conference	W	77-63	9-7 (2-3)
2024-01-13	Abil Christian	H	Conference	W	68-53	10-7 (3-3)
2024-01-20	Southern Utah	H	Conference	W	83-76	11-7 (4-3)
2024-01-25	UT Rio Grande	A	Conference	W	63-54	12-7 (5-3)
2024-01-27	SF Austin	A	Conference	W	81-79	13-7 (6-3)
2024-02-03	Seattle	H	Conference	L	60-61	13-8 (6-4)
2024-02-08	UT Arlington	H	Conference	W	64-63	14-8 (7-4)
2024-02-10	Utah Tech	A	Conference	L	78-85	14-9 (7-5)
2024-02-15	Utah Valley	H	Conference	L	46-69	14-10 (7-6)
2024-02-17	Grand Canyon	A	Conference	L	76-79	14-11 (7-7)
2024-02-22	Abil Christian	A	Conference	L	65-71	14-12 (7-8)
2024-02-24	Tarleton	A	Conference	L	65-82	14-13 (7-9)
2024-02-29	SF Austin	H	Conference	L	60-62	14-14 (7-10)
2024-03-02	UT Rio Grande	H	Conference	W	88-52	15-14 (8-10)
2024-03-07	UT Arlington	A	Conference	L	57-71	15-15 (8-11)
2024-03-09	Grand Canyon	H	Conference	L	47-68	15-16 (8-12)
2024-03-13	Utah Valley	N	Conference Tournament	W	74-63	16-16 (8-12)
2024-03-14	Seattle	N	Conference Tournament	L	57-81	16-17 (8-12)
2024-11-04	Incarnate Word	H	Non-Conference	W	83-78	1-0 (0-0)
2024-11-09	Kennesaw State	H	Non-Conference	W	88-84	2-0 (0-0)
2024-11-12	UC Riverside	H	Non-Conference	L	69-70	2-1 (0-0)
2024-11-15	Long Island University	H	Non-Conference	W	90-77	3-1 (0-0)
2024-11-20	N Colorado	H	Non-Conference	L	68-79	3-2 (0-0)
2024-11-23	E Washington	H	Non-Conference	W	79-68	4-2 (0-0)
2024-11-26	SMU	N	Non-Conference	L	77-79	4-3 (0-0)
2024-11-27	Fresno State	N	Non-Conference	W	86-81	5-3 (0-0)
2024-12-01	UCF	A	Non-Conference	L	59-74	5-4 (0-0)
2024-12-11	San Diego State	A	Non-Conference	L	75-81	5-5 (0-0)
2024-12-16	Mid Tennessee	A	Non-Conference	L	64-75	5-6 (0-0)
2024-12-21	Fresno State	A	Non-Conference	W	86-69	6-6 (0-0)
2024-12-28	Jackson State	H	Non-Conference	W	79-73	7-6 (0-0)
2024-12-30	UC Irvine	H	Non-Conference	L	63-71	7-7 (0-0)
2025-01-04	Seattle	H	Conference	W	61-59	8-7 (1-0)
2025-01-11	Utah Valley	A	Conference	L	69-75	8-8 (1-1)
2025-01-16	Tarleton	A	Conference	L	57-67	8-9 (1-2)
2025-01-18	Abil Christian	A	Conference	W	60-54	9-9 (2-2)
2025-01-23	Utah Valley	H	Conference	L	69-74	9-10 (2-3)
2025-01-25	Southern Utah	A	Conference	W	76-60	10-10 (3-3)
2025-01-30	Abil Christian	H	Conference	W	83-60	11-10 (4-3)
2025-02-06	Southern Utah	H	Conference	L	57-60	11-11 (4-4)
2025-02-08	Grand Canyon	H	Conference	W	85-71	12-11 (5-4)
2025-02-13	UT Arlington	A	Conference	L	79-82	12-12 (5-5)
2025-02-15	Utah Tech	H	Conference	W	86-83	13-12 (6-5)
2025-02-22	Grand Canyon	A	Conference	L	64-66	13-13 (6-6)
2025-02-27	Seattle	A	Conference	L	48-72	13-14 (6-7)
2025-03-01	Utah Tech	A	Conference	W	61-57	14-14 (7-7)
2025-03-06	Tarleton	H	Conference	W	68-48	15-14 (8-7)
2025-03-08	UT Arlington	H	Conference	W	70-68	16-14 (9-7)
2025-03-13	Tarleton	N	Conference Tournament	W	55-51	17-14 (9-7)
2025-03-14	Grand Canyon	N	Conference Tournament	L	66-75	17-15 (9-7)
2025-11-03	South Carolina Upstate	H	Non-Conference	W	87-75	1-0 (0-0)
2025-11-07	UC Irvine	A	Non-Conference	-	-	-
2025-11-14	Western Illinois	H	Non-Conference	-	-	-
2025-11-18	UC Riverside	H	Non-Conference	-	-	-
2025-11-21	Grambling	H	Non-Conference	-	-	-
2025-11-25	San Diego	N	Non-Conference	-	-	-
2025-11-29	Oregon State	A	Non-Conference	-	-	-
2025-12-01	Colorado	A	Non-Conference	-	-	-
2025-12-03	BYU	A	Non-Conference	-	-	-
2025-12-06	Utah	A	Non-Conference	-	-	-
2025-12-12	Eastern Washington	A	Non-Conference	-	-	-
2025-12-16	Southern	H	Non-Conference	-	-	-
2025-12-20	Sacramento State	H	Non-Conference	-	-	-
2025-12-29	Utah Valley	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-01	UT Arlington	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-03	Tarleton State	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-08	Utah Tech	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-10	Southern Utah	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-15	Abilene Christian	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-21	Utah Tech	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-24	Utah Valley	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-01-31	UT Arlington	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-05	Tarleton State	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-07	Abilene Christian	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-12	Southern Utah	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-14	Utah Tech	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-19	Utah Valley	A	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-26	UT Arlington	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-02-28	Tarleton State	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-03-05	Abilene Christian	H	Conference	-	-	-
2026-03-07	Southern Utah	A	Conference	-	-	-

California Baptist Offense

Metric	California Baptist	Opponent	Metric

California Baptist Defense

Metric	California Baptist	Opponent	Metric

Model Predictions

Model	California Baptist	Opponent	Predicted Score	Spread	Result	MAE

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Offense: Vitals

Shooting

2025-26 Season Mean: 0.586
Rank: 1 of 7 in WAC, 54 of 365 in D1
Trend: Weakly Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 1 of 7 in WAC, 87 of 365 in D1

54th

Turnovers

2025-26 Season Mean: 0.102
Rank: 1 of 7 in WAC, 28 of 365 in D1
Trend: Weakly Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 3 of 7 in WAC, 152 of 365 in D1

28th

Off Reb Pct

2025-26 Season Mean: 0.364
Rank: 1 of 7 in WAC, 85 of 365 in D1
Trend: Weakly Down, Weakening
Trend Rank: 2 of 7 in WAC, 141 of 365 in D1

85th

FT Rate

2025-26 Season Mean: 0.328
Rank: 4 of 7 in WAC, 199 of 365 in D1
Trend: Weakly Down, Strengthening
Trend Rank: 4 of 7 in WAC, 251 of 365 in D1

199th

Defense: Vitals

Opp Shooting

2025-26 Season Mean: 0.509
Rank: 2 of 7 in WAC, 169 of 365 in D1
Trend: Weakly Down, Weakening
Trend Rank: 2 of 7 in WAC, 71 of 365 in D1

169th

Opp Turnovers

2025-26 Season Mean: 0.179
Rank: 1 of 7 in WAC, 122 of 365 in D1
Trend: Moderately Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 1 of 7 in WAC, 62 of 365 in D1

122nd

Def Reb Pct

2025-26 Season Mean: 0.733
Rank: 1 of 7 in WAC, 119 of 365 in D1
Trend: Strongly Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 2 of 7 in WAC, 71 of 365 in D1

119th

Opp FT Rate

2025-26 Season Mean: 0.537
Rank: 6 of 7 in WAC, 303 of 365 in D1
Trend: Moderately Up, Weakening
Trend Rank: 5 of 7 in WAC, 261 of 365 in D1

303rd

Note: These are Dean Oliver's Four Factors of Basketball Success. It's fairly intuitive: When a team has the ball, they can do one of 4 things: (1) Get a bucket, (2) Turn the ball over, (3) Shoot the ball, miss, then rebound to retain possession, or (4) Get fouled and either retain possession or head to the line. These four factors are measured by (1) Effective Field Goal percentage (EFG) = (FGM + 0.5*3FGM)/FGA, (2) Turnover Pct = # TOs/Possessions, (3) Offensive Rebounding % = OR/(OR+Opp DR), and (4) Free Throw Rate = FTA/FGA. The stats are repeated on the defensive side using the opponents' numbers.

Adj Off Eff

Season
Avg: 110.16

93rd

FGM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 49.3%

15th

FGA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 92.8%

24th

FG Pct

Season
Avg: 53.1%

34th

2Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 75.0%

15th

2PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 39.1%

4th

2PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 69.6%

7th

2Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 56.2%

108th

3Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 25.0%

351st

3PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 10.1%

188th

3PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 23.2%

325th

3Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 43.8%

35th

FT Rate

Season
Avg: 32.8%

199th

FTM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 17.4%

230th

FTA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 30.4%

139th

FT Pct

Season
Avg: 57.1%

318th

Assists per FGM

Season
Avg: 47.1%

253rd

Balls Stolen Per Poss

Season
Avg: 7.2%

74th

Balls Blocked Per FGA

Season
Avg: 4.3%

170th

Fouls Drawn Per Poss

Season
Avg: 27.5%

105th

Turnovers

Season
Avg: 10.2%

28th

Off Reb Pct

Season
Avg: 36.4%

85th

Off Tempo

Season
Avg: 68.97

279th

Points per Poss

Season
Avg: 1.26

49th

Shooting

Season
Avg: 0.59

54th

Adj Def Eff

Season
Avg: 95.98

245th

Opp FGM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 34.4%

118th

Opp FGA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 74.2%

47th

Opp FG Pct (%)

Season
Avg: 46.3%

197th

Opp 2Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 68.5%

302nd

Opp 2PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 27.5%

190th

Opp 2PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 50.8%

202nd

Opp 2Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 54.1%

187th

Opp 3Pt Rate

Season
Avg: 31.5%

63rd

Opp 3PM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 6.9%

64th

Opp 3PA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 23.4%

47th

Opp 3Pt Pct

Season
Avg: 29.4%

127th

Opp FT Rate

Season
Avg: 53.7%

303rd

Opp FTM Per Poss

Season
Avg: 27.5%

280th

Opp FTA Per Poss

Season
Avg: 39.8%

292nd

Opp FT Pct

Season
Avg: 69.0%

156th

Opp Assists per FGM

Season
Avg: 12.0%

1st

Steals Per Poss

Season
Avg: 4.1%

292nd

Blocks Per FGA

Season
Avg: 1.4%

281st

Fouls Per Poss

Season
Avg: 28.9%

284th

Opp Turnovers

Season
Avg: 17.9%

122nd

Def Reb Pct

Season
Avg: 73.3%

119th

Opp Off Tempo

Season
Avg: 72.78

214th

Opp Points per Poss

Season
Avg: 1.03

223rd

Opp Shooting

Season
Avg: 0.5%

169th